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Akron

Model Outputs

1988-1989
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1150 (#51) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1113 (#82) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +112 elo More โ†’ 1088 (#55) HCA +112 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +9.8 (#50) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +11.5 (#35) HCA +3.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.896 (#6) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.8 More โ†’ 0.813 (#51) AdjNet +12.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.9 More โ†’ 0.818 (#51) AdjNet +12.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 68.2 More โ†’ 0.707 (#44) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 68.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 67.5 More โ†’ 0.729 (#17) AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 67.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.732 (#50) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.736 (#45) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 123 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1074 (#95) RD 123 | GP 29

1989 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1988-11-26 vs Boise State W 64 - 57
1988-11-28 @ NC State L 67 - 87
1988-12-02 vs Delaware State W 105 - 66
1988-12-03 vs Stephen F. Austin W 102 - 77
1988-12-05 vs Middle Tennessee W 81 - 65
1988-12-10 vs Kent State W 78 - 69
1988-12-19 vs Kansas State L 68 - 70
1988-12-21 @ Boise State L 62 - 65
1989-01-04 @ Brooklyn W 109 - 68
1989-01-07 @ Middle Tennessee L 94 - 99
1989-01-11 vs Cleveland State L 77 - 78
1989-01-14 @ Oral Roberts W 88 - 84
1989-01-16 vs Youngstown State W 97 - 73
1989-01-21 vs Wright State W 87 - 78
1989-01-23 @ Northern Illinois W 80 - 69
1989-01-28 vs Western Michigan W 97 - 64
1989-01-31 @ Ohio L 72 - 76
1989-02-02 vs Northern Illinois W 90 - 70
1989-02-04 @ Youngstown State W 99 - 73
1989-02-06 @ Morehead State L 87 - 89
1989-02-09 vs Southern Utah W 79 - 53
1989-02-11 @ UCF W 75 - 71
1989-02-13 @ Florida International W 87 - 80
1989-02-18 @ Wright State W 86 - 70
1989-02-22 vs Oral Roberts W 91 - 72
1989-02-27 vs Brooklyn W 102 - 44
1989-03-01 vs Western Illinois W 88 - 53
1989-03-04 vs Weber State W 92 - 50
1989-03-15 @ Ohio State L 70 - 81

1989 Roster

No roster data available for this season.