Akron Zips
Model Outputs
2009-2010
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1048 (#129) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1028 (#150) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1026 (#128) | HCA +89 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +1.6 (#147) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +2.9 (#131) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.608 (#113) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.574 (#149) | AdjNet +2.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.574 (#148) | AdjNet +2.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.536 (#145) | AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 58.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.554 (#121) | AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 57.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.561 (#141) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.564 (#140) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1031 (#144) | RD 118 | GP 31 |
2010 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-11-13 | vs | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | W | 63 - 49 |
| 2009-11-15 | @ | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | L | 37 - 67 |
| 2009-11-19 | @ | Robert Morris Colonials | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2009-11-22 | @ | Wright State Raiders | L | 49 - 63 |
| 2009-11-27 | vs | Rider Broncs | W | 79 - 43 |
| 2009-11-28 | @ | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L | 64 - 70 |
| 2009-12-02 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2009-12-05 | vs | Youngstown State Penguins | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2009-12-14 | vs | Lake Erie Storm | W | 76 - 51 |
| 2009-12-17 | @ | Chicago State Cougars | W | 62 - 55 |
| 2009-12-20 | @ | Niagara Purple Eagles | L | 60 - 71 |
| 2009-12-28 | vs | Temple Owls | L | 43 - 55 |
| 2010-01-02 | @ | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L | 57 - 59 |
| 2010-01-06 | @ | Bowling Green Falcons | L | 62 - 74 |
| 2010-01-09 | vs | Buffalo Bulls | W | 72 - 56 |
| 2010-01-13 | vs | Kent State Golden Flashes | W | 62 - 55 |
| 2010-01-16 | @ | Miami (OH) RedHawks | W | 55 - 40 |
| 2010-01-20 | @ | Ohio Bobcats | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2010-01-23 | vs | Western Michigan Broncos | W | 58 - 44 |
| 2010-01-27 | @ | Ball State Cardinals | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2010-01-30 | @ | Eastern Michigan Eagles | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2010-02-04 | vs | Central Michigan Chippewas | W | 62 - 55 |
| 2010-02-06 | vs | Northern Illinois Huskies | W | 57 - 39 |
| 2010-02-10 | @ | Toledo Rockets | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2010-02-13 | @ | Buffalo Bulls | W | 63 - 57 |
| 2010-02-20 | vs | Bowling Green Falcons | L | 56 - 66 |
| 2010-02-24 | @ | Kent State Golden Flashes | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2010-02-27 | vs | Miami (OH) RedHawks | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2010-03-02 | vs | Ohio Bobcats | W | 69 - 41 |
| 2010-03-10 | vs | Eastern Michigan Eagles | W | 72 - 46 |
| 2010-03-12 | @ | Bowling Green Falcons | L | 49 - 81 |
| 2010-03-18 | @ | Wichita State Shockers | L | 61 - 67 |
2010 Roster
No roster data available for this season.