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Akron Zips

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1048 (#129) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1028 (#150) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1026 (#128) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +1.6 (#147) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +2.9 (#131) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.608 (#113) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.574 (#149) AdjNet +2.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.574 (#148) AdjNet +2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 58.2 More โ†’ 0.536 (#145) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 58.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 57.6 More โ†’ 0.554 (#121) AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 57.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.561 (#141) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.564 (#140) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1031 (#144) RD 118 | GP 31

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-13 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 63 - 49
2009-11-15 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 37 - 67
2009-11-19 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 67 - 74
2009-11-22 @ Wright State Raiders L 49 - 63
2009-11-27 vs Rider Broncs W 79 - 43
2009-11-28 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 64 - 70
2009-12-02 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 68 - 66
2009-12-05 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 75 - 63
2009-12-14 vs Lake Erie Storm W 76 - 51
2009-12-17 @ Chicago State Cougars W 62 - 55
2009-12-20 @ Niagara Purple Eagles L 60 - 71
2009-12-28 vs Temple Owls L 43 - 55
2010-01-02 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 57 - 59
2010-01-06 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 62 - 74
2010-01-09 vs Buffalo Bulls W 72 - 56
2010-01-13 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 62 - 55
2010-01-16 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks W 55 - 40
2010-01-20 @ Ohio Bobcats L 63 - 64
2010-01-23 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 58 - 44
2010-01-27 @ Ball State Cardinals W 66 - 64
2010-01-30 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 73 - 66
2010-02-04 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 62 - 55
2010-02-06 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 57 - 39
2010-02-10 @ Toledo Rockets L 68 - 74
2010-02-13 @ Buffalo Bulls W 63 - 57
2010-02-20 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 56 - 66
2010-02-24 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 64 - 67
2010-02-27 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks W 72 - 65
2010-03-02 vs Ohio Bobcats W 69 - 41
2010-03-10 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 72 - 46
2010-03-12 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 49 - 81
2010-03-18 @ Wichita State Shockers L 61 - 67

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.