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Akron

2014 Team Stats (4 games)

65.0
PPG
66.0
Opp
-1.0
Margin
44.5%
FG%
38.8%
3P%
51.6%
FT%
33.5
RPG
10.0
APG
11.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.8
Adj PPG
66.2
Adj Opp PPG
#139
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1065 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1103 (#99) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1038 (#120) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +1.6 (#146) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +0.6 (#160) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.569 (#133) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.575 (#139) AdjNet +2.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.575 (#139) AdjNet +2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.535 (#139) AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 66.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 66.4 More โ†’ 0.523 (#141) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.564 (#133) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.562 (#131) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1100 (#102) RD 112 | GP 34

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 72 - 63
2013-11-12 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 63 - 85
2013-11-16 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 73 - 80
2013-12-07 @ Cleveland State Vikings W 73 - 61
2013-12-14 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 84 - 56
2013-12-16 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 74 - 64
2013-12-18 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 79 - 60
2013-12-22 vs Oregon State Beavers W 83 - 71
2013-12-23 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 60 - 83
2013-12-25 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 59 - 69
2013-12-28 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 45 - 78
2013-12-31 vs Coppin State Eagles W 77 - 66
2014-01-02 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 59 - 58
2014-01-08 @ Ball State Cardinals W 72 - 68
2014-01-12 @ Ohio Bobcats W 83 - 80
2014-01-15 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks W 59 - 52
2014-01-18 vs Toledo Rockets L 61 - 75
2014-01-22 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 78 - 68
2014-01-25 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 82 - 74
2014-01-29 vs Ball State Cardinals W 73 - 46
2014-02-01 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 57 - 60
2014-02-05 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 52 - 48
2014-02-09 @ Bowling Green Falcons W 65 - 63
2014-02-12 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 54 - 57
2014-02-15 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 62 - 54
2014-02-19 @ Buffalo Bulls L 90 - 96
2014-02-22 vs Ohio Bobcats L 50 - 66
2014-02-26 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 61 - 65
2014-03-01 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 57 - 47
2014-03-04 vs Buffalo Bulls W 83 - 71
2014-03-07 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 58 - 54
2014-03-13 vs Ohio Bobcats W 83 - 77
2014-03-14 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 60 - 64
2014-03-19 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 91 - 97

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Demetrius Treadwell Demetrius Treadwell F 27 33.3 14.6 8.9 1.9 1.0 0.7 2.6 2.6 21.8 39 25 1.6 2.2 43.7 0.0 53.6 1.79 206.5 43.7
Quincy Diggs Quincy Diggs F 27 29.6 12.3 4.7 2.9 1.9 0.0 2.4 2.3 17.0 26 25 1.0 1.7 46.0 37.9 59.3 0.57 221.7 54.8
Nick Harney Nick Harney F 24 20.4 8.5 3.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 1.4 1.3 10.8 36 22 1.6 3.7 59.4 33.3 52.9 1.91 259.6 60.9
Reggie McAdams Reggie McAdams F 23 19.3 6.4 2.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.2 36 20 1.8 4.5 59.1 50.0 77.8 2.31 285.1 79.5
Jake Kretzer Jake Kretzer F 21 23.7 6.2 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.8 1.0 8.4 27 20 1.4 2.6 30.0 27.8 50.0 0.2 313.7 42.5
D. Ibitayo D. Ibitayo G 23 15.7 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.3 7.1 1 22 0.0 0.1 48.3 44.4 0 0.3 217.2 62.1
Nyles Evans Nyles Evans G 27 20.4 5.1 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.1 1.1 6.5 -2 25 -0.1 -0.2 29.0 23.8 50.0 -1.76 212.1 37.1
Pat Forsythe Pat Forsythe C 27 16.7 4.6 3.3 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.5 0.6 7.5 -45 25 -1.8 -4.5 53.3 0 63.6 -3.94 312.5 53.3
Isaiah Johnson Isaiah Johnson C 25 13.6 3.9 3.0 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.7 7.0 25 23 1.1 4.2 50.0 0 33.3 -0.42 251.0 50.0
Mark Noble Mark Noble G 1 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Cheatham Jr. K. Cheatham Jr. F 16 9.3 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.0 3.9 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Carmelo Betancourt Carmelo Betancourt G 26 17.1 2.0 1.1 2.1 0.8 0.0 1.4 0.5 4.2 -12 22 -0.5 -1.6 41.7 25.0 33.3 -3.12 162.9 45.8

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG