🐻⬇️🏀

Air Force

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Air Force Falcons, Air Force
Program History
Coach: Joe Scott

2025 Team Stats (11 games)

65.9
PPG
69.4
Opp
-5.3
Margin
44.6%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
62.4%
FT%
30.9
RPG
14.4
APG
11.1
TO
70.4
Pace
64.5
AdjO
72.2
AdjD
#276
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 745 (#337) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 682 (#356) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -8.3 (#285) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.120 (#353) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.120 (#353) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.9 More → 0.202 (#291) AdjNet -11.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.9 More → 0.201 (#291) AdjNet -11.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.332 (#276) AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 72.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-07 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 73 - 67
2024-11-11 vs Long Island University Sharks L 54 - 63
2024-11-15 vs Belmont Bruins L 71 - 79
2024-11-21 @ California Golden Bears L 69 - 78
2024-11-24 vs Mercyhurst Lakers W 82 - 48
2024-11-27 vs Sacramento State Hornets L 61 - 63
2024-11-30 @ Wright State Raiders L 57 - 70
2024-12-02 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 60 - 73
2024-12-07 vs Stony Brook Seawolves W 69 - 61
2024-12-16 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 76 - 81
2024-12-31 vs UNLV Rebels L 58 - 77
2025-01-04 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 65 - 70
2025-01-08 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 38 - 67
2025-01-17 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 65 - 74

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ethan Taylor Ethan Taylor - 14 36.9 14.0 6.2 4.3 2.0 0.3 2.1 11.6 13.1 -394 -12.3 -15.3 40.1 35.5 81.8 -2.2 55.5 52.2
W. Celichowski W. Celichowski - 14 20.6 10.3 2.0 1.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.1 6.8 -206 -7.1 -12.0 56.5 37.5 67.2 0.83 65.1 61.8
L. Kearney L. Kearney - 14 24.4 8.6 2.9 0.6 0.6 0.2 1.3 7.1 4.6 -242 -9.7 -13.7 41.0 34.3 80.0 -0.68 55.6 52.5
K. Marshall K. Marshall - 14 23.2 7.5 2.6 1.1 1.1 0.5 1.6 5.5 5.9 -212 -9.2 -12.3 46.8 31.6 62.8 0.71 54.7 50.6
C. Walker C. Walker - 14 17.6 7.4 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.6 2.1 4.8 6.7 -55 -2.2 -3.2 61.2 50.0 42.0 0.18 58.4 61.9
Jeffrey Mills Jeffrey Mills - 14 31.4 7.1 3.6 2.6 0.8 0.1 1.0 5.9 7.3 -307 -9.6 -14.0 45.8 40.4 33.3 -0.53 56.1 57.2
S. Springer S. Springer - 7 9.3 3.9 0.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.0 1.7 -12 -1.2 -11.4 33.3 25.0 71.4 -0.49 49.7 40.5
Byron Brown Byron Brown - 14 20.9 2.9 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.9 2.5 4.2 -158 -6.6 -14.5 37.1 16.7 46.2 -0.37 43.1 40.0
Sam Duskin Sam Duskin - 13 13.0 2.6 1.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 2.6 2.6 -73 -6.1 -25.1 35.3 27.6 66.7 -0.14 48.1 47.1
W. Cooper W. Cooper - 8 9.2 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.9 1.2 -107 -8.2 -18.0 34.8 9.1 50.0 -0.18 39.0 37.0
Beau Becker Beau Becker - 4 6.2 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.8 -0.2 -64 -4.6 -27.1 28.6 20.0 50.0 -0.34 38.1 35.7
Yoda Oke Yoda Oke G 2 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 -29 -2.4 -12.3 100.0 0 0 -0.21 100.0 100.0
K. Boylan K. Boylan F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 0 0.0 0.0 - - - -0.25 - -
C. Green C. Green F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -5 -1.2 -52.4 - - - -1.37 - -
R. Petraitis R. Petraitis F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -100 -4.3 -5.5 - - - 0.06 - -
J. Gatete J. Gatete - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6 3.0 55.0 0 0 0 -1.29 0 0
K. Gilles K. Gilles F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
A.J. Patterson A.J. Patterson - 4 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -14 -2.3 -13.7 0 0 0 -0.51 0 0
E. Robinson E. Robinson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -5 -5.0 -160.0 - - - -1.79 - -
E. Taite E. Taite G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Sam Akinrelere Sam Akinrelere - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG