Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kearney | 40 | 7-23 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | -4.8 |
| E. Taylor | 40 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | -7.6 |
| J. Mills | 34 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4.0 |
| K. Marshall | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +4.1 |
| C. Walker | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -7.0 |
| W. Celichowski | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +6.6 |
| W. Cooper | 11 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4.8 |
| B. Becker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.7 |
| S. Springer | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.4 |
| B. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.6 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Price | 37 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | +4.3 |
| J. Weaver | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 9 | -0.2 |
| A. Crawford | 34 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +15.4 |
| Z. Collins | 32 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | +3.7 |
| M. Seck | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +11.3 |
| B. Amuneke | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| J. Tremble | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +0.8 |
| P. Geneste Jr. | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -6.6 |
* = starter