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Air Force Falcons

Also known as: Air Force Falcons
Program History

2025 Team Stats (2 games)

73.5
PPG
71.5
Opp
+2.0
Margin
45.0%
FG%
30.2%
3P%
62.1%
FT%
31.0
RPG
14.0
APG
8.0
TO
78.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 995 (#321) HCA +113 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +11.2 (#185) HCA +2.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 64.4 More → 0.485 (#239) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 64.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.674 (#209) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.642 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 27 More → 980 (#221) RD 118 | GP 27

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-11 @ Northern Colorado Bears W 73 - 66
2025-03-04 @ New Mexico Lobos L 74 - 77

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Smith M. Smith G 2 32.5 20.5 5.5 3.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 15.5 13.0 26 1.0 4.2 51.6 35.7 66.7 0.01 60.9 59.7
M. Perry M. Perry G 2 34.5 19.5 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 1.5 19.0 3.5 95 2.8 3.6 36.8 10.0 76.9 0.84 44.6 38.2
K. O'Hollaren K. O'Hollaren G 2 17.5 9.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 7.5 6.0 110 3.2 4.7 46.7 40.0 50.0 0.9 59.8 60.0
J. DeVaughn J. DeVaughn G 2 13.5 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.0 4.5 1 0.0 0.1 60.0 66.7 100.0 -0.14 73.5 70.0
E. Adams E. Adams F 2 22.0 7.0 7.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 7.0 7.5 58 1.7 3.7 50.0 0 0 0.18 50.0 50.0
J. McNabb J. McNabb G 2 24.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 4.5 6.5 123 3.6 5.6 44.4 0.0 0.0 1.05 40.5 44.4
Jo Huntimer Jo Huntimer G 2 30.5 3.5 3.5 5.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.5 8.0 75 2.3 3.1 33.3 20.0 0 0.43 38.9 38.9
A. Cortez A. Cortez G 2 25.5 1.5 3.5 1.5 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 6.0 90 3.1 5.2 33.3 0 25.0 0.6 31.5 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG