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Air Force Falcons

Also known as: Air Force Falcons
Program History

2024 Team Stats (2 games)

61.0
PPG
75.0
Opp
-14.0
Margin
37.8%
FG%
27.9%
3P%
77.8%
FT%
30.0
RPG
12.5
APG
11.0
TO
78.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 866 (#309) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 990 (#240) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +15.6 (#209) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.300 (#248) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.5 More → 0.117 (#84) AdjNet -17.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.0 More → 0.111 (#84) AdjNet -18.0

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-12-02 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 58 - 74
2024-01-13 vs UNLV Lady Rebels L 64 - 76

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. MacMillan D. MacMillan F 2 26.5 12.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 7.5 9.5 1 0.2 0.2 60.0 44.4 100.0 -0.32 75.6 73.3
M. Perry M. Perry G 2 33.0 11.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 13.5 3.0 28 4.0 4.2 25.9 33.3 70.0 0.29 35.0 27.8
K. O'Hollaren K. O'Hollaren G 2 30.0 9.5 4.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 10.0 3.5 14 2.0 4.6 40.0 25.0 0 0.13 47.5 47.5
M. Smith M. Smith G 2 25.0 7.5 3.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.5 8.0 5.5 20 3.3 3.6 43.8 16.7 0 0.05 46.9 46.9
T. Britt T. Britt G 2 16.5 6.5 5.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 8.5 - - - 54.5 25.0 0 -0.19 59.1 59.1
A. Cortez A. Cortez G 2 27.5 6.5 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 9.5 1.0 19 2.7 2.9 31.6 33.3 0 0.22 34.2 34.2
J. McNabb J. McNabb G 2 25.0 5.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 46 6.6 7.8 25.0 25.0 100.0 0.42 40.0 29.2
J. DeVaughn J. DeVaughn G 2 6.0 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 3 0.4 1.0 40.0 0.0 50.0 -0.2 42.5 40.0
P. Brown P. Brown F 2 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
G. Walsh G. Walsh G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Hargrave M. Hargrave G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20 2.9 17.7 0 0 0 0.16 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG