Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.8% | 3.2% | -18.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -16 (58-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Wetta | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| F. Formann | 27 | 8-17 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Q. Miller | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| M. Nolan | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| S. Smith | 17 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Sadler | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Whittaker | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Vonleh | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. McLeod | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Atchison | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Gerber | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Sanders | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Perry | 33 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -2 | - |
| K. O'Hollaren | 28 | 2-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. McNabb | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Smith | 27 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. MacMillan | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Britt | 24 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. Cortez | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| P. Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. DeVaughn | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| G. Walsh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Hargrave | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter