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Adrian Bulldogs

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Adrian
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 764 (#620) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 758 (#614) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 778 (#765) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -14.7 (#403) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -20.1 (#687) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.173 (#691) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.0 More → 0.193 (#48) NetEff -13.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.6 More → 0.142 (#590) AdjNet -15.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.9 More → 0.135 (#591) AdjNet -15.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 78.7 More → 0.254 (#587) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 78.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 85.5 More → 0.214 (#729) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 85.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.142 (#717) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.144 (#723) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 22 More → 732 (#595) RD 101 | GP 22

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-08 vs Oberlin - Incomplete score
2023-11-10 vs Penn St.-Altoona - Incomplete score
2023-11-11 vs Bluffton - Incomplete score
2023-11-15 @ Ohio Northern - Incomplete score
2023-11-18 @ Capital - Incomplete score
2023-11-21 @ Siena Heights - Incomplete score
2023-11-28 @ Saginaw Valley - Incomplete score
2023-12-09 vs CWRU - Incomplete score
2023-12-18 vs Hiram - Incomplete score
2023-12-29 @ Otterbein - Incomplete score
2023-12-30 @ Covenant - Incomplete score
2024-01-04 @ Alma - Incomplete score
2024-01-06 vs Albion - Incomplete score
2024-01-10 vs Calvin - Incomplete score
2024-01-13 vs Hope - Incomplete score
2024-01-17 @ Trine - Incomplete score
2024-01-20 vs Olivet - Incomplete score
2024-01-24 vs Kalamazoo - Incomplete score
2024-01-28 vs Trine - Incomplete score
2024-01-31 @ Olivet - Incomplete score
2024-02-03 @ Calvin - Incomplete score
2024-02-07 @ Hope - Incomplete score
2024-02-10 @ Albion - Incomplete score
2024-02-14 vs Alma - Incomplete score
2024-02-17 @ Kalamazoo - Incomplete score
2024-02-20 @ Alma - Incomplete score
2024-02-23 @ Trine - Incomplete score

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kameron Mayes - 1 29.0 19.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 18.0 -12 -1.1 -9.8 60.0 0.0 77.8 0.32 68.1 60.0
Nick Seifert - 25 32.4 11.6 4.9 2.8 1.2 0.4 3.0 9.9 8.0 11 2.8 6.2 40.3 29.3 60.0 1.07 48.7 44.8
Dwayne Ray - 1 34.0 11.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 10.0 13 1.3 10.2 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.72 61.9 56.2
Kendall Chrismon - 25 22.6 10.0 3.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 1.4 10.3 4.0 44 11.0 36.7 37.6 32.7 74.1 0.91 46.5 44.8
Braylon Dickerson - 23 26.6 9.3 5.0 1.2 1.3 0.7 2.3 8.7 6.5 5 1.2 4.2 35.0 27.9 74.3 0.51 46.0 39.8
Kurtis Rhodes - 1 12.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 -14 -1.4 -19.8 60.0 0.0 100.0 0.3 68.0 60.0
DJ Morrow - 23 18.7 7.2 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.3 5.9 3.2 50 12.5 60.2 41.2 35.7 85.3 0.39 55.0 50.4
Josh Jordan - 25 20.8 6.9 3.6 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.7 6.4 4.4 11 2.8 8.9 49.1 0.0 47.1 0.46 49.4 49.1
Darius Welch - 21 14.7 5.4 2.8 0.6 0.7 0.2 1.3 4.6 3.8 10 3.3 13.6 43.8 28.1 77.8 0.43 52.8 48.4
Josh Rechsteiner - 24 22.8 3.7 3.8 1.3 1.2 0.2 1.8 2.9 5.4 4 1.0 3.0 42.9 39.0 50.0 0.64 54.6 54.3
Michael Rightnowar - 20 23.1 3.5 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.6 2.7 5.2 17 4.2 10.7 46.3 39.5 71.4 0.64 61.3 60.2
Seth Logan - 23 7.1 3.1 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.0 34 3.1 1217.9 42.6 34.4 93.3 -1.51 58.6 52.8
Nate Childers - 1 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1 -0.3 -1.2 100.0 100.0 0 0.35 150.0 150.0
Reed Schilling - 22 8.5 2.6 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.4 2.7 1.3 - - - 42.4 21.4 100.0 - 48.4 47.5
Marco Lucchesi - 1 12.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 -5 -1.7 -4.4 33.3 0 0 0.84 33.3 33.3
Lucas Shock - 23 3.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 12 6.0 612.8 31.6 0.0 66.7 -1.57 44.6 31.6
AJ Barden - 1 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -5 -1.7 -3.7 0 0 50.0 0.93 56.8 0
Emcee Williams - 23 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.9 - - - 50.0 40.0 75.0 - 60.3 57.1
Jake Trampush - 23 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 - - - 80.0 100.0 75.0 - 88.8 90.0
Jacob Rehor - 21 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 - - - 42.9 0.0 0 - 42.9 42.9
Luke Rager - 24 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 - - - 50.0 0 75.0 - 60.8 50.0
Jake Slezinger - 22 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - 40.0 33.3 0.0 - 46.0 50.0
Dylan Gira - 20 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.1 - - - 20.0 0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Xzavier Brooks - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cayden Lepper - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Elijah Levin - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Devin Lilly - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Love - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jude Moldenhauer-Whitman - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Blaine Proefke - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Antonio Sanders - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Grant Stockford - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bryce Whitlow - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Mikey Clark - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -17 -4.2 -26.5 0 0 0 0.07 0 0
Phil Ragan - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Drew Daiek - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nate Delaney - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bryce Esman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaylen Flaniken - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19 6.3 28.3 0 0 0 0.3 0 0
BJ Hunter - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Truman King - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -0.2 -2.9 0 0 0 0.28 0 0
Zak Krueger - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lamar Lee - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.7 4.1 0 0 0 -0.0 0 0
Deonte Roberts - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5 2.5 8.7 0 0 0 0.15 0 0
Nathan Steinman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Michael Umeh - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Beck Willems - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ethan Woolery - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -15 -2.1 -23.5 0 0 0 0.13 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG