Adrian Bulldogs
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 778 (#765) | - |
| Margin Recency | -20.1 (#687) | HCA +3.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.214 (#729) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 85.5 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.142 (#717) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.144 (#723) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.039 (#685) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 733 (#596) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Oberlin | W | 63 - 57 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Franciscan | L | 92 - 106 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Siena Heights | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Capital | L | 56 - 79 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Wittenberg | L | 90 - 104 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Central Mich. | L | 67 - 112 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Denison | L | 73 - 86 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Dominican (IL) | W | 93 - 88 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 92 - 81 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | L | 75 - 97 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Bluffton | L | 77 - 91 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Hiram | L | 83 - 91 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 77 - 55 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Calvin | L | 68 - 92 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Hope | L | 76 - 86 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Trine | L | 55 - 101 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Olivet | L | 64 - 78 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Albion | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Alma | L | 79 - 102 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Hope | L | 75 - 85 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Calvin | L | 59 - 92 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Trine | L | 66 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles, with four dividers separating the position buckets.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian | - | 13 | 200.0 | 77.4 | 32.6 | 13.2 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 15.8 | 62.3 | 55.8 | - | - | - | 42.3 | 32.3 | 74.3 | - | 53.7 | 48.9 |
| Darrius Welch | - | 13 | 30.8 | 15.1 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 10.3 | 13.3 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 39.6 | 76.4 | - | 59.2 | 52.6 |
| Seth Logan | - | 13 | 25.9 | 14.3 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 10.7 | 8.1 | - | - | - | 37.4 | 32.3 | 86.7 | - | 56.2 | 48.2 |
| Luke Rager | - | 13 | 26.0 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 7.8 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 47.5 | 39.1 | 80.0 | - | 55.8 | 52.0 |
| Brendon Schlink | - | 11 | 22.0 | 8.3 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 42.2 | 32.6 | 63.6 | - | 51.8 | 50.6 |
| Jeremiah Dallas | - | 13 | 19.1 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 5.9 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 41.6 | 44.4 | 58.3 | - | 51.0 | 46.8 |
| Carson Lutz | - | 11 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 36.0 | 12.5 | 90.3 | - | 51.9 | 38.0 |
| Dylan Gira | - | 13 | 10.7 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.6 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 42.6 | 31.6 | 50.0 | - | 49.4 | 48.9 |
| Gavin Saunders | - | 6 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 79.9 | 79.2 |
| Jayden Smiley | - | 13 | 17.0 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 48.9 | 0.0 | 42.9 | - | 48.9 | 48.9 |
| Noah Vanlaningham | - | 13 | 9.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 39.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 47.9 | 46.5 |
| Jacob Rehor | - | 8 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 58.8 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 64.7 | 64.7 |
| Kechan Johnson | - | 12 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 21.1 | 57.1 | - | 41.5 | 36.7 |
| Maisen Bordchart | - | 3 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Austin Burns | - | 8 | 11.4 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 73.5 | 70.0 |
| Curtis Dell | - | 3 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Austin Foster | - | 4 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Cayden Lepper | - | 6 | 7.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 25.0 | - | 17.1 | 14.3 |
| Bryce Plesha | - | 1 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lewis Covile | - | 3 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| TEAM | - | 13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG