Adrian Bulldogs
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 850 (#579) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 834 (#563) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 778 (#765) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.0 (#315) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.1 (#687) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.173 (#691) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.193 (#48) | NetEff -13.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.142 (#590) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.135 (#591) | AdjNet -15.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.254 (#587) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 78.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.214 (#729) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 85.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.142 (#717) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.144 (#723) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 735 (#589) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Denison | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Bluffton | W | 70 - 69 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Ohio Northern | L | 60 - 92 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Capital | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Siena Heights | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | L | 72 - 83 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Oberlin | L | 81 - 88 |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 79 - 71 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Hiram | L | 82 - 83 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Saint Vincent | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Alma | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Albion | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Calvin | L | 43 - 73 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Hope | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Trine | L | 55 - 83 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Olivet | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 69 - 68 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Trine | L | 65 - 92 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Olivet | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Calvin | L | 55 - 92 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Hope | L | 57 - 80 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Albion | L | 64 - 76 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Alma | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Kalamazoo | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Hope | L | 55 - 81 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Richardson | - | 1 | 37.0 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 12.0 | -86 | -4.5 | -19.7 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.38 | 64.3 | 63.6 |
| Conner Schipper | - | 1 | 34.0 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | -4 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 63.6 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 0.37 | 73.1 | 72.7 |
| Haidyn Garrison | - | 1 | 34.0 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | -22 | -7.3 | -19.0 | 63.6 | 40.0 | 66.7 | -0.06 | 73.1 | 72.7 |
| Braylon Dickerson | - | 25 | 33.0 | 14.3 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 13.0 | 7.2 | -173 | -10.2 | -15.6 | 38.5 | 25.9 | 76.2 | -0.97 | 48.3 | 43.1 |
| Nick Seifert | - | 25 | 33.7 | 13.9 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 12.4 | 8.1 | -176 | -10.4 | -15.7 | 43.7 | 25.2 | 58.8 | -1.26 | 50.1 | 48.1 |
| Seth Logan | - | 25 | 25.4 | 11.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 9.4 | 4.8 | -113 | -5.9 | -17.3 | 39.1 | 33.5 | 68.9 | -0.55 | 53.1 | 50.2 |
| Lee Hardy | - | 1 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | -64 | -3.8 | -22.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.11 | 103.1 | 100.0 |
| Porter Kretschman | - | 1 | 35.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | -74 | -4.9 | -26.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.11 | 47.4 | 50.0 |
| Kendall Chrismon | - | 25 | 16.7 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 6.5 | 3.8 | -73 | -6.6 | -13.4 | 39.3 | 23.9 | 80.6 | 0.28 | 48.4 | 44.2 |
| Josh Jordan | - | 25 | 21.7 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 6.8 | -149 | -9.9 | -17.4 | 50.0 | 28.6 | 57.9 | -0.3 | 52.9 | 50.9 |
| Luke Rager | - | 25 | 20.6 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 3.8 | -81 | -4.0 | -13.2 | 42.7 | 34.6 | 75.9 | -0.58 | 51.4 | 47.1 |
| Aden Hathaway | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -34 | -4.9 | -16.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.08 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Josh Rechsteiner | - | 25 | 20.2 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 5.5 | -119 | -9.2 | -18.3 | 33.3 | 30.0 | 83.3 | 0.02 | 45.2 | 40.8 |
| Dylan Gira | - | 25 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 2.2 | -26 | -2.4 | -13.3 | 47.7 | 31.6 | 72.7 | 0.1 | 57.3 | 54.5 |
| Emcee Williams | - | 25 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.9 | -37 | -4.1 | -20.5 | 40.8 | 18.8 | 53.8 | -0.06 | 45.7 | 43.9 |
| Nolan Finkbeiner | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -73 | -10.4 | -44.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.03 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Reed Schilling | - | 24 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 1.0 | 9.4 | 40.0 | 31.2 | 50.0 | -0.08 | 50.2 | 50.0 |
| Cris Brown | - | 14 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | -3 | -0.8 | -27.7 | 10.0 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -1.36 | 29.8 | 15.0 |
| Lucas Shock | - | 22 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -9 | -1.8 | -17.1 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.34 | 38.0 | 28.6 |
| Jacob Rehor | - | 25 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | -13 | -1.6 | -14.3 | 17.6 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.22 | 17.6 | 17.6 |
| Bryce Plesha | - | 21 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Cayden Lepper | - | 23 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.35 | 10.1 | 0.0 |
| Cedric Bates | - | 24 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -1.0 | -19.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jake Slezinger | - | 21 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -13 | -6.5 | -125.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.97 | 33.8 | 25.0 |
| Austin Foster | - | 23 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26 | 1.6 | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.19 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Brayden White | - | 24 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -47.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Gabriele Aveni | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| EJ Bennett | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tayshawn Crosby | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.7 | -9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Curtis Dell | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brady Kling | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chadwick Martian | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Blaine Proefke | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen Smith | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76 | 4.0 | 25.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Trampush | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mason Wichman | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 24 | 6.0 | 69.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.35 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG