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Adrian Bulldogs

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Adrian Bulldogs
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 850 (#579) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 834 (#563) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 778 (#765) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -15.0 (#315) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -20.1 (#687) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.173 (#691) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.0 More → 0.193 (#48) NetEff -13.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.6 More → 0.142 (#590) AdjNet -15.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.9 More → 0.135 (#591) AdjNet -15.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 78.7 More → 0.254 (#587) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 78.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 85.5 More → 0.214 (#729) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 85.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.142 (#717) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.144 (#723) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 22 More → 735 (#589) RD 101 | GP 22

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-08 vs Oberlin L 60 - 67
2023-11-10 vs Penn St.-Altoona L 67 - 71
2023-11-11 vs Bluffton L 75 - 83
2023-11-15 @ Ohio Northern L 59 - 82
2023-11-18 @ Capital L 74 - 87
2023-11-21 @ Siena Heights L 40 - 72
2023-11-28 @ Saginaw Valley L 38 - 91
2023-12-09 vs CWRU L 65 - 83
2023-12-18 vs Hiram W 79 - 58
2023-12-29 @ Otterbein L 61 - 98
2023-12-30 @ Covenant W 51 - 47
2024-01-04 @ Alma L 55 - 69
2024-01-06 vs Albion W 78 - 70
2024-01-10 vs Calvin L 65 - 71
2024-01-13 vs Hope L 62 - 91
2024-01-17 @ Trine L 57 - 77
2024-01-20 vs Olivet W 86 - 52
2024-01-24 vs Kalamazoo W 75 - 66
2024-01-28 vs Trine L 65 - 69
2024-01-31 @ Olivet W 74 - 69
2024-02-03 @ Calvin L 51 - 77
2024-02-07 @ Hope L 51 - 74
2024-02-10 @ Albion L 73 - 87
2024-02-14 vs Alma L 60 - 67
2024-02-17 @ Kalamazoo W 66 - 65
2024-02-20 @ Alma W 68 - 56
2024-02-23 @ Trine L 70 - 74

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kameron Mayes - 1 29.0 19.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 18.0 -12 -1.1 -9.8 60.0 0.0 77.8 0.32 68.1 60.0
Nick Seifert - 26 32.2 11.7 4.9 2.8 1.2 0.4 3.0 9.8 8.2 11 2.8 6.2 41.2 28.9 59.7 1.07 49.3 45.5
Dwayne Ray - 1 34.0 11.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 10.0 13 1.3 10.2 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.72 61.9 56.2
Kendall Chrismon - 26 22.0 9.7 3.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 1.4 10.0 3.7 44 11.0 36.7 37.3 32.5 74.1 0.91 46.2 44.4
Braylon Dickerson - 24 26.3 9.2 4.8 1.2 1.3 0.7 2.3 8.8 6.2 5 1.2 4.2 34.8 27.4 72.4 0.51 45.4 39.5
Kurtis Rhodes - 1 12.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 -14 -1.4 -19.8 60.0 0.0 100.0 0.3 68.0 60.0
DJ Morrow - 24 18.7 7.2 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 1.3 6.0 3.0 50 12.5 60.2 40.7 35.1 85.3 0.39 54.1 49.7
Josh Jordan - 26 20.7 6.8 3.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 1.7 6.2 4.3 11 2.8 8.9 49.4 0.0 47.2 0.46 49.8 49.4
Darius Welch - 22 14.4 5.3 2.8 0.6 0.6 0.2 1.2 4.5 3.8 10 3.3 13.6 43.9 28.1 77.8 0.43 52.8 48.5
Josh Rechsteiner - 25 22.5 3.5 3.8 1.2 1.1 0.2 1.8 2.9 5.2 4 1.0 3.0 41.7 39.0 50.0 0.64 53.3 52.8
Michael Rightnowar - 21 23.3 3.4 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.6 2.7 4.9 17 4.2 10.7 45.6 37.5 71.4 0.64 59.9 58.8
Seth Logan - 24 7.0 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.8 34 3.1 1217.9 41.8 34.4 87.5 -1.51 57.2 51.8
Nate Childers - 1 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1 -0.3 -1.2 100.0 100.0 0 0.35 150.0 150.0
Reed Schilling - 23 8.9 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.7 1.1 - - - 40.3 20.7 66.7 - 45.8 45.2
Marco Lucchesi - 1 12.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 -5 -1.7 -4.4 33.3 0 0 0.84 33.3 33.3
Lucas Shock - 24 3.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 12 6.0 612.8 31.6 0.0 65.0 -1.57 45.0 31.6
AJ Barden - 1 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -5 -1.7 -3.7 0 0 50.0 0.93 56.8 0
Emcee Williams - 24 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.9 - - - 43.8 40.0 75.0 - 53.5 50.0
Jake Trampush - 24 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 - - - 66.7 100.0 75.0 - 77.3 75.0
Jacob Rehor - 21 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 - - - 42.9 0.0 0 - 42.9 42.9
Luke Rager - 25 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 - - - 50.0 0 75.0 - 60.8 50.0
Jake Slezinger - 23 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - 42.9 25.0 0.0 - 47.0 50.0
Dylan Gira - 21 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.2 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Xzavier Brooks - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cayden Lepper - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Elijah Levin - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Love - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jude Moldenhauer-Whitman - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Blaine Proefke - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Antonio Sanders - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bryce Whitlow - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Devin Lilly - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Grant Stockford - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Mikey Clark - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -17 -4.2 -26.5 0 0 0 0.07 0 0
Phil Ragan - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Drew Daiek - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nate Delaney - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bryce Esman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaylen Flaniken - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19 6.3 28.3 0 0 0 0.3 0 0
BJ Hunter - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Truman King - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -0.2 -2.9 0 0 0 0.28 0 0
Zak Krueger - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lamar Lee - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.7 4.1 0 0 0 -0.0 0 0
Deonte Roberts - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5 2.5 8.7 0 0 0 0.15 0 0
Nathan Steinman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Michael Umeh - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Beck Willems - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ethan Woolery - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -15 -2.1 -23.5 0 0 0 0.13 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG