Adrian Bulldogs
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 850 (#579) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 834 (#563) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 778 (#765) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.0 (#315) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.1 (#687) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.173 (#691) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.193 (#48) | NetEff -13.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.142 (#590) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.135 (#591) | AdjNet -15.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.254 (#587) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 78.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.214 (#729) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 85.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.142 (#717) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.144 (#723) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 735 (#589) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-12 | vs | Anderson (IN) | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2021-11-13 | vs | Manchester | W | 92 - 80 |
| 2021-11-17 | @ | Earlham | L | 85 - 94 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ | Mount Union | L | 60 - 97 |
| 2021-11-21 | @ | Muskingum | L | 79 - 93 |
| 2021-11-23 | @ | Siena Heights | L | 69 - 73 |
| 2021-12-01 | @ | Otterbein | L | 70 - 71 |
| 2021-12-04 | vs | CWRU | L | 90 - 98 |
| 2021-12-15 | @ | Lourdes | L | 66 - 89 |
| 2021-12-29 | @ | Bluffton | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-30 | vs | Miami-Hamilton | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-05 | vs | Olivet | L | 85 - 92 |
| 2022-01-08 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 83 - 71 |
| 2022-01-12 | vs | Alma | W | 108 - 80 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ | Calvin | L | 61 - 81 |
| 2022-01-19 | vs | Hope | L | 78 - 81 |
| 2022-01-22 | @ | Albion | L | 74 - 90 |
| 2022-01-26 | @ | Trine | L | 63 - 88 |
| 2022-01-29 | vs | Calvin | L | 77 - 89 |
| 2022-02-03 | @ | Olivet | W | 98 - 83 |
| 2022-02-05 | @ | Hope | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | vs | Albion | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 78 - 59 |
| 2022-02-16 | @ | Alma | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2022-02-19 | vs | Trine | L | 65 - 82 |
| 2022-02-22 | @ | Trine | L | 63 - 92 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.