Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1019 (#147) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1010 (#158) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 972 (#520) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.9 (#201) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.7 (#391) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.430 (#170) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.427 (#203) | AdjNet -2.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.438 (#201) | AdjNet -2.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.478 (#197) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 58.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.473 (#425) | AdjO 54.0 | AdjD 55.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.495 (#364) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.488 (#366) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 988 (#266) | RD 101 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Fordham | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Caldwell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | American Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Franklin Pierce | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Pace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Assumption | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Pace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Bentley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Franklin Pierce | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-10 | @ | Pace | W | 69 - 45 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Southern N.H. | L | 44 - 66 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | L | 41 - 82 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Bentley | L | 38 - 47 |
| 2026-02-24 | @ | American Int'l | W | 68 - 57 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | L | 39 - 76 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.