Adelphi
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1037 (#154) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1049 (#196) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 972 (#520) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.6 (#190) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.7 (#391) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.430 (#388) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.866 (#154) | NetEff +12.6 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.639 (#235) | NetEff +3.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.427 (#436) | AdjNet -2.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.438 (#433) | AdjNet -2.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.478 (#427) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 58.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.473 (#425) | AdjO 54.0 | AdjD 55.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.495 (#363) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.489 (#364) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 988 (#264) | RD 101 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Fordham | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Caldwell | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Mercy | L | 45 - 61 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Queens (NY) | W | 75 - 46 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | American Int'l | W | 56 - 54 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Franklin Pierce | W | 70 - 50 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Staten Island | W | 54 - 37 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Pace | W | 55 - 47 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Molloy | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Saint Anselm | W | 53 - 51 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Assumption | L | 57 - 61 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Saint Michael's | L | 40 - 52 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Pace | L | 51 - 62 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Southern N.H. | L | 54 - 67 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | L | 51 - 65 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Bentley | L | 49 - 67 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 60 - 29 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 42 - 52 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Assumption | L | 48 - 51 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Saint Michael's | W | 55 - 48 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Asencio | - | 3 | 33.9 | 18.3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 6.7 | 16 | 3.2 | 9.7 | 45.8 | 33.3 | 90.0 | 0.49 | 52.5 | 47.9 |
| Victoria Morales | - | 21 | 29.9 | 12.8 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 12.2 | 7.4 | -24 | -1.2 | -6.2 | 36.6 | 35.1 | 76.7 | 2.63 | 47.3 | 43.2 |
| Christina Sanchez | - | 21 | 30.2 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 4.5 | -67 | -2.9 | -13.5 | 35.8 | 26.1 | 40.5 | -1.31 | 41.5 | 41.0 |
| Madison Williams | - | 20 | 16.5 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 34 | 1.8 | 15.6 | 36.6 | 34.2 | 75.0 | 0.25 | 47.0 | 45.2 |
| Gianna Chuffo | - | 21 | 13.5 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.9 | -0.7 | 45 | 2.2 | 50.3 | 29.7 | 27.7 | 61.5 | 0.93 | 40.5 | 39.3 |
| Me'Challe Cancer | - | 21 | 28.6 | 5.5 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 6.8 | -30 | -1.4 | -7.4 | 25.8 | 24.4 | 69.6 | -0.32 | 37.7 | 29.7 |
| Gamila Betton | - | 21 | 25.7 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 7.3 | 5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 3.04 | 42.1 | 38.0 |
| Lauren Beberman | - | 19 | 28.8 | 4.2 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 5.4 | 10.3 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 24.5 | 9.1 | 62.8 | 1.68 | 32.7 | 25.5 |
| Kirina Azemar | - | 18 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.7 | -1.1 | -3 | -0.2 | -3.1 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 69.0 | 2.28 | 33.6 | 26.8 |
| Adout Ring | - | 17 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.3 | -6 | -0.4 | -4.9 | 52.6 | 66.7 | 60.0 | -1.86 | 60.5 | 57.9 |
| Beth Healy | - | 19 | 8.3 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 | -4 | -0.2 | -2.4 | 27.6 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.26 | 32.5 | 29.3 |
| Sofia Kammas | - | 15 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 3.9 | 12.5 | 14.3 | 50.0 | -1.64 | 17.8 | 15.6 |
| Alyssa Bell | - | 3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61 | 2.9 | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.53 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG