Adams St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1250 (#28) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1226 (#36) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1202 (#15) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.1 (#90) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.1 (#157) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.738 (#274) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.681 (#222) | NetEff +5.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.901 (#203) | AdjNet +19.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.912 (#202) | AdjNet +19.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.769 (#200) | AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 62.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.699 (#87) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 61.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.824 (#80) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.816 (#77) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1247 (#30) | RD 108 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | @ | Lubbock Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Angelo St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Eastern N.M. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Simon Fraser | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | West Tex. A&M | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | UT Permian Basin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | MSU Denver | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | N.M. Highlands | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Fort Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | UT Tyler | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Maryville (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Westminster (UT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Colorado Mesa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Chadron St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | CSU Pueblo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | N.M. Highlands | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Fort Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiiyani Anitielu | - | 23 | 29.0 | 17.7 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 13.0 | 10.5 | 170 | 7.1 | 24.2 | 46.2 | 42.2 | 73.9 | 3.64 | 58.5 | 54.3 |
| Taejhuan Hill | - | 23 | 29.5 | 14.2 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 9.8 | 13.7 | 181 | 7.5 | 24.9 | 56.9 | 0 | 72.4 | 2.6 | 61.0 | 56.9 |
| Elaina Watson | - | 23 | 29.0 | 10.6 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 8.5 | 11.3 | 131 | 5.5 | 21.0 | 44.4 | 32.7 | 65.1 | 1.54 | 52.5 | 48.5 |
| Ashiian Hunter | - | 23 | 31.4 | 9.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 8.7 | 5.6 | 192 | 8.0 | 28.7 | 35.8 | 29.4 | 87.2 | 3.68 | 50.1 | 45.0 |
| Jada Price | - | 23 | 22.9 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 78 | 3.2 | 13.0 | 43.5 | 34.1 | 40.9 | -2.95 | 49.4 | 49.6 |
| Nakya Blakley | - | 22 | 17.6 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 13 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 23.0 | 20.3 | 76.2 | -0.66 | 37.6 | 29.6 |
| Jaden Ferris | - | 10 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | -4 | -0.4 | -10.6 | 41.7 | 27.8 | 100.0 | -2.37 | 55.3 | 52.1 |
| Brya Brooklyn Arroyo-Gillcrese | - | 22 | 12.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 36 | 1.6 | 13.7 | 24.2 | 22.0 | 72.7 | 0.85 | 36.0 | 32.6 |
| Mia Ervin | - | 23 | 11.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 17 | 0.7 | 5.1 | 32.1 | 0.0 | 60.7 | -2.77 | 39.0 | 32.1 |
| Brooklyn Long | - | 14 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | -8 | -0.5 | -6.7 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 80.0 | -1.02 | 51.3 | 42.1 |
| Amaya Martinez | - | 22 | 12.0 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 57 | 2.5 | 29.3 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 60.7 | 1.86 | 38.9 | 24.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG