Adams St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1127 (#89) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1135 (#77) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1202 (#15) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.1 (#78) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.1 (#157) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.738 (#80) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.681 (#222) | NetEff +5.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.901 (#55) | AdjNet +19.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.912 (#56) | AdjNet +19.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.769 (#56) | AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 62.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.699 (#87) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 61.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.824 (#80) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.816 (#77) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1247 (#30) | RD 108 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | @ | Lubbock Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Angelo St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Eastern N.M. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Simon Fraser | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | West Tex. A&M | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | UT Permian Basin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | MSU Denver | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | N.M. Highlands | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Fort Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | UT Tyler | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Maryville (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Westminster (UT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Colorado Mesa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Chadron St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | CSU Pueblo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-12 | @ | Western Colo. | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Westminster (UT) | L | 73 - 84 |
| 2026-02-19 | vs | Black Hills St. | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 78 - 52 |
| 2026-02-26 | @ | UCCS | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | CSU Pueblo | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2026-03-03 | vs | MSU Denver | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2026-03-06 | vs | UCCS | L | 71 - 74 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.