🐻⬇️🏀

Abraham Baldwin

Season: 2026
Also known as: Abraham Baldwin
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 968 (#282) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 963 (#300) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 989 (#343) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -22.4 (#540) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.004 (#689) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.8 More → 0.043 (#678) AdjNet -26.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.4 More → 0.041 (#679) AdjNet -26.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 95.1 More → 0.111 (#697) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 95.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 79.0 More → 0.394 (#462) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 79.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.232 (#514) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.259 (#509) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 343 | GP 1 More → 937 (#295) RD 343 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-02 @ Columbus St. L 64 - 103

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lee Langstaff II - 1 16.8 26.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 24.0 68 3.4 17.0 80.0 83.3 100.0 0.0 106.6 105.0
Pascal Volz - 1 16.8 16.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 14.0 5 0.2 1.5 100.0 100.0 0.0 0.15 124.2 133.3
Ahmed-Sory Soumahoro - 1 16.5 11.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 6.0 24 1.6 10.7 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.32 49.1 33.3
Jaylen Harris - 1 13.1 10.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 9.0 -40 -1.7 -19.7 42.9 40.0 50.0 0.02 57.1 57.1
Jydon Hall - 1 18.6 8.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 9.0 -19 -1.2 -4.5 75.0 66.7 0 -0.56 100.0 100.0
Delexcrius Morton - 1 6.7 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 75.0 100.0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Aaron Smith - 1 13.1 6.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 -66 -3.1 -43.0 100.0 0 0 -0.17 100.0 100.0
Marlon Smith - 1 15.3 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 34 1.6 7.3 40.0 0.0 50.0 0.2 44.4 40.0
Masiah Jones - 1 19.6 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 100 4.5 33.8 50.0 0 100.0 -0.49 69.4 50.0
Jordan Mitchell - 1 16.2 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 -59 -1.6 -17.0 40.0 0.0 0 1.28 40.0 40.0
Nathan Eroh - 1 17.7 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0 0 0.76 100.0 100.0
Jackson Harris - 1 10.2 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -1.0 48 2.4 24.3 25.0 0.0 0 0.02 25.0 25.0
Davis Byrnes - 1 9.4 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Robert Moore - 1 10.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG