🐻⬇️🏀

Abilene Christian

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Abilene Christian
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1113 (#120) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1025 (#268) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +52.9 (#20) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#59) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +78.1 More → 1.000 (#40) NetEff +78.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +69.9 More → 1.000 (#18) AdjNet +69.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +68.9 More → 1.000 (#21) AdjNet +68.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 98.0 | AdjD 47.6 More → 0.990 (#8) AdjO 98.0 | AdjD 47.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 57.7 More → 0.903 (#15) AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 57.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.980 (#8) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.969 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 343 | GP 2 More → 1205 (#65) RD 343 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Howard Payne W 103 - 33
2025-12-02 vs McMurry W 112 - 60

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Payton Hull - 2 23.1 22.5 4.0 3.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 14.0 16.5 - - - 57.1 37.5 100.0 - 72.4 67.9
Meredith Mayes - 2 21.5 15.5 7.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 8.0 18.0 - - - 87.5 0 75.0 - 87.3 87.5
Natalia Chavez - 2 19.5 13.5 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.5 7.0 12.0 - - - 64.3 50.0 100.0 - 83.3 78.6
Erin Woodson - 2 22.2 13.5 4.0 3.5 4.0 0.5 1.0 9.0 15.5 - - - 61.1 25.0 50.0 - 65.4 66.7
Emma Troxell - 1 21.9 12.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 13.0 - - - 71.4 0.0 100.0 - 76.1 71.4
Molly Daugherty - 2 16.8 8.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 6.0 3.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 70.8 70.8
Jazmyn Stone - 2 13.2 6.5 2.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 48 3.2 135.5 50.0 25.0 80.0 0.39 63.7 56.2
Breanna Davis - 2 19.0 6.5 3.5 5.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 5.5 11.0 - - - 54.5 25.0 0 - 59.1 59.1
Riley Grohman - 2 16.2 4.0 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.5 4.0 - - - 33.3 25.0 0 - 44.4 44.4
Bree Riley - 2 9.9 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 2.5 5.0 - - - 80.0 0 0 - 80.0 80.0
Jordyn Coleman - 2 6.8 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 2.5 0 0.0 0.0 60.0 0 50.0 0.59 59.5 60.0
Emma Daugherty - 2 13.9 3.5 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 - - - 100.0 0 75.0 - 93.1 100.0
Aimee Flippen - 2 6.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG