🐻⬇️🏀

Abilene Christian

Also known as: Abilene Christian
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#325) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1053 (#243) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1013 (#339) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +17.4 (#148) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#140) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.9 More → 0.985 (#59) AdjNet +35.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +35.3 More → 0.985 (#64) AdjNet +35.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.3 | AdjD 58.1 More → 0.934 (#46) AdjO 87.3 | AdjD 58.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.614 (#189) AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.809 (#92) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.769 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1088 (#215) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs McMurry W 92 - 55

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Joseph Scott - 1 17.0 16.0 17.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 10.0 22.0 33 2.4 23.5 70.0 0 100.0 4.0 73.5 70.0
Bradyn Hubbard - 1 21.7 15.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 10.0 - - - 45.5 20.0 100.0 - 58.8 50.0
Zy Wright - 1 20.4 13.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 - - - 62.5 50.0 50.0 - 73.2 75.0
Christian Alston - 1 17.2 11.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 5.0 7 1.8 65.1 50.0 0.0 25.0 0.23 46.8 50.0
Rich Smith - 1 22.2 8.0 4.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 12.0 4 1.0 29.9 37.5 0 50.0 0.84 41.0 37.5
Tylan LEWIS - 1 16.5 6.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 7 0.4 5.0 60.0 0 0 0.03 60.0 60.0
Joseph Venzant - 1 20.4 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 75.0 - 108.7 150.0
Isaac Dye - 1 14.2 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ma'Shy Hill - 1 10.3 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 23 2.3 18.8 100.0 0 50.0 1.12 86.8 100.0
Chilaydrien Newton - 1 26.6 5.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 10.0 -44 -2.3 -14.3 25.0 33.3 100.0 0.12 51.2 37.5
Cade Hornecker - 1 9.7 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 17.0 0.0
Isaiah Carrillo - 1 4.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG