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2026-11-10

Model Predictions

Model South Alabam... UCF Knights Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
3.6% (#278) 96.4% (#53) UCF Knights -23.6 63-87
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
12.0% (#278) 88.0% (#55) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
0.4% (#321) 99.6% (#86) UCF Knights -30.8 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
27.6% (#216) 72.4% (#94) - -
Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
28.0% (#242) 72.0% (#83) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
19.7% (#224) 80.3% (#74) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
19.9% (#224) 80.1% (#74) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
32.4% (#317) 67.6% (#97) - -

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat South Alabam... UCF Knights
Games 2 2
PPG 80.0 91.5
FG% 48.0% 49.2%
3PT% 22.4% 34.1%
FT% 64.4% 72.6%
RPG 32.5 33.0
APG 14.0 15.0
SPG 7.0 5.5
BPG 0.5 4.5
TOPG 9.5 5.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric South Alabam... UCF Knights
Adj. Off Eff 99.1 103.2
Adj. Def Eff 100.9 96.8
Adj. Net Eff -1.8 6.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

South Alabama Jaguars Top Players

No player data available

UCF Knights Top Players

No player data available