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Delaware State Hornets 8-23
@
2026-01-24
North Carolina Central Eagles 14-18

Model Predictions

Model Delaware Sta... North Caroli... Spread Projected
Elo
2025-26 season-end ratings
 18.9% (#361) 81.1% (#326) North C... -9.5 68-78
Bradley-Terry
2025-26 season-end ratings
 27.0% (#357) 73.0% (#325) - -
Margin
2025-26 season-end ratings
 24.3% (#361) 75.7% (#350) North C... -6.2 -
Pythagorean
2025-26 season-end ratings
 35.8% (#355) 64.2% (#338) - -
Efficiency
2025-26 season-end ratings
 35.2% (#355) 64.8% (#338) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2025-26 season-end ratings
 21.0% (#363) 79.0% (#349) - -
Log Adjusted
2025-26 season-end ratings
 20.6% (#363) 79.4% (#349) - -
Points Off/Def
2025-26 season-end ratings
 35.4% (#361) 64.6% (#350) - -

2025-26 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.4 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.7-point home edge (2024-25 margin fit); projected score: 2024-25's average total of 146 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Delaware Sta... North Caroli...
Games 31 32
PPG 61.2 71.8
FG% 39.8% 43.9%
3PT% 29.6% 32.8%
FT% 68.9% 72.8%
RPG 31.2 31.5
APG 10.6 13.6
SPG 7.6 8.8
BPG 1.9 3.5
TOPG 13.2 12.2

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Delaware Sta... North Caroli...
Adj. Off Eff 85.1 88.9
Adj. Def Eff 114.9 111.1
Adj. Net Eff -29.9 -22.2

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Delaware State Hornets Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Ponce James 13.6 2.9 3.4 1.9 0.0 32.8
Corey Perkins 7.3 2.5 2.9 1.5 0.1 27.3
Miles Webb 9.5 5.9 0.7 0.7 0.3 27.3
Camian Shell 8.0 1.9 1.9 0.7 0.1 24.0
Bessanty Saragba 3.2 3.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 22.1

North Carolina Ce... Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Gage Lattimore 16.6 4.3 2.4 1.3 0.3 36.8
Dionte Johnson 8.6 4.0 5.1 2.3 0.0 30.8
Khouri Carvey 13.6 6.3 1.5 1.1 1.0 26.2
Tekao Carpenter 6.8 2.0 1.4 0.8 0.1 25.9
Kelechi Okworogwo 8.2 5.1 0.5 0.7 1.5 25.6