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Bellarmine Knights 13-19
@
2025-11-29
Northern Illinois Huskies 9-21

Model Predictions

Model Bellarmine Knights Northern Ill... Spread Projected
Elo
2025-26 season-end ratings
 53.5% (#290) 46.5% (#338) Bellarm... -2.7 75-72
Bradley-Terry
2025-26 season-end ratings
 50.1% (#280) 49.9% (#322) - -
Margin
2025-26 season-end ratings
 64.4% (#280) 35.6% (#334) Bellarm... -3.3 -
Pythagorean
2025-26 season-end ratings
 71.4% (#264) 28.6% (#350) - -
Efficiency
2025-26 season-end ratings
 82.1% (#264) 17.9% (#350) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2025-26 season-end ratings
 77.5% (#271) 22.5% (#338) - -
Log Adjusted
2025-26 season-end ratings
 77.6% (#271) 22.4% (#339) - -
Points Off/Def
2025-26 season-end ratings
 55.4% (#280) 44.6% (#335) - -

2025-26 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.4 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.7-point home edge (2024-25 margin fit); projected score: 2024-25's average total of 146 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Bellarmine Knights Northern Ill...
Games 32 30
PPG 80.0 69.5
FG% 52.1% 41.6%
3PT% 38.2% 31.2%
FT% 79.2% 66.4%
RPG 27.9 34.7
APG 15.1 12.5
SPG 6.1 6.0
BPG 1.7 1.9
TOPG 10.3 14.9

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Bellarmine Knights Northern Ill...
Adj. Off Eff 95.1 90.4
Adj. Def Eff 104.9 109.6
Adj. Net Eff -9.8 -19.2

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Bellarmine Knights Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Kenyon Goodin 11.6 2.8 2.0 0.9 0.1 32.6
Brian Waddell 15.0 4.3 2.1 0.7 0.4 31.2
Jack Karasinski 21.7 4.7 1.2 0.6 0.3 29.8
Tyler Doyle 10.0 2.8 3.8 0.6 0.1 27.8
Sam Donald 6.5 3.3 2.0 0.8 0.3 26.6

Northern Illinois Huskies Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Makhai Valentine 13.3 5.3 1.0 1.0 0.2 30.7
Dylan Ducommun 10.8 2.9 3.4 0.8 0.2 30.6
Gianni Cobb 9.8 2.7 3.9 1.7 0.0 29.0
Taj Walters 8.5 5.4 0.6 0.7 0.3 27.1
Gustav Winther 8.1 4.2 0.9 0.4 0.6 21.2