🐻⬇️🏀

Wisconsin Badgers 20-15
@
2023-01-21
Northwestern Wildcats 22-12

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Northwestern... Spread Projected
Elo
2022-23 season-end ratings
 39.3% (#51) 60.7% (#63) Northwe... -1.2 70-71
Bradley-Terry
2022-23 season-end ratings
 38.8% (#74) 61.2% (#53) - -
Margin
2022-23 season-end ratings
 27.1% (#61) 72.9% (#37) Northwe... -5.4 -
Pythagorean
2022-23 season-end ratings
 41.9% (#141) 58.1% (#65) - -
Efficiency
2022-23 season-end ratings
 29.1% (#141) 70.9% (#65) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2022-23 season-end ratings
 30.9% (#61) 69.1% (#33) - -
Log Adjusted
2022-23 season-end ratings
 30.8% (#60) 69.2% (#33) - -
Points Off/Def
2022-23 season-end ratings
 37.9% (#66) 62.1% (#38) - -

2022-23 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.2 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.2-point home edge (2021-22 margin fit); projected score: 2021-22's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Wisconsin Badgers Northwestern...
Games 35 34
PPG 65.3 67.7
FG% 41.4% 40.7%
3PT% 34.2% 32.1%
FT% 69.1% 75.7%
RPG 31.7 34.5
APG 11.6 12.8
SPG 5.9 7.9
BPG 1.5 3.9
TOPG 8.6 9.6

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Wisconsin Badgers Northwestern...
Adj. Off Eff 107.5 109.8
Adj. Def Eff 92.5 90.2
Adj. Net Eff 15.0 19.5

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Wisconsin Badgers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Max Klesmit 8.4 2.7 1.4 1.2 0.2 32.0
Chucky Hepburn 12.2 2.8 2.8 1.5 0.1 32.0
Tyler Wahl 11.3 6.3 2.5 1.2 0.4 31.4
Steven Crowl 12.1 6.9 2.5 0.3 0.5 30.6
Connor Essegian 11.7 3.7 0.7 0.5 0.0 27.4

Northwestern Wildcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Boo Buie 17.3 3.4 4.5 1.1 0.1 34.9
Chase Audige 14.1 3.4 2.9 2.4 0.6 34.4
Ty Berry 8.5 4.8 1.1 1.4 0.1 28.3
Robbie Beran 7.5 4.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 25.8
Brooks Barnhizer 7.6 4.9 1.1 0.8 0.4 24.2