🐻⬇️🏀

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Arkansas Sta... Spread
Elo 15.2% (#296) 84.8% (#151) -
Bradley-Terry 18.9% (#296) 81.1% (#146) -
Margin 11.6% (#316) 88.4% (#197) Arkansa... -11.2
Pythagorean 17.8% (#342) 82.2% (#171) -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.3% (#318) 90.7% (#204) -
Log Adjusted 9.3% (#318) 90.7% (#201) -
Points Off/Def 25.5% (#322) 74.5% (#197) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Little Rock Trojans Arkansas Sta...
Games 28 29
PPG 66.7 70.9
FG% 42.2% 45.1%
3PT% 33.7% 31.1%
FT% 73.5% 74.5%
RPG 31.4 36.0
APG 13.0 15.6
SPG 7.0 7.9
BPG 2.1 3.3
TOPG 13.9 13.9

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Little Rock Trojans Arkansas Sta...
Adj. Off Eff 91.8 98.3
Adj. Def Eff 108.2 101.7
Adj. Net Eff -16.4 -3.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Little Rock Trojans Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
M. Gardner 10.1 6.0 2.3 1.1 0.3 30.6
I. Palermo 10.8 3.9 1.5 1.3 0.1 29.0
N. Maric 13.3 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.5 27.3
J. Stulic 7.8 2.8 1.0 0.8 0.6 26.1
D. Gordon 10.4 4.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 26.0

Arkansas State Red Wolves Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
M. Eaton 11.5 2.8 3.5 1.0 0.2 31.4
C. Fields 7.3 3.6 4.4 1.1 0.1 31.2
D. Sills 12.6 3.6 2.8 1.8 0.3 29.7
N. Omier 17.9 12.2 1.2 1.6 2.0 28.9
K. Wesley 4.3 3.4 0.8 0.6 0.0 19.3