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Radford Highlanders 11-18
@
2021-12-20
Akron Zips 24-10

Model Predictions

Model Radford Highlanders Akron Zips Spread Projected
Elo
2021-22 season-end ratings
 4.8% (#290) 95.2% (#51) Akron Zips -20.6 61-81
Bradley-Terry
2021-22 season-end ratings
 14.3% (#290) 85.7% (#102) - -
Margin
2021-22 season-end ratings
 10.7% (#281) 89.3% (#139) Akron Zips -11.7 -
Pythagorean
2021-22 season-end ratings
 25.5% (#285) 74.5% (#66) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2021-22 season-end ratings
 6.6% (#293) 93.4% (#145) - -
Log Adjusted
2021-22 season-end ratings
 6.8% (#292) 93.2% (#147) - -
Points Off/Def
2021-22 season-end ratings
 25.0% (#280) 75.0% (#137) - -

2021-22 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.5 points per 100 Elo plus a 1.9-point home edge (2020-21 margin fit); projected score: 2020-21's average total of 142 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Radford Highlanders Akron Zips
Games 28 34
PPG 63.7 70.6
FG% 41.6% 46.0%
3PT% 31.1% 35.4%
FT% 67.1% 68.9%
RPG 33.6 34.9
APG 11.1 11.7
SPG 6.5 5.9
BPG 1.6 3.3
TOPG 13.9 11.4

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Radford Highlanders Akron Zips
Adj. Off Eff 93.6 101.1
Adj. Def Eff 106.4 98.9
Adj. Net Eff -12.8 2.2

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Radford Highlanders Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Bryan Hart 8.9 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.0 29.4
Rashun Williams 9.8 4.6 1.0 0.4 0.5 26.4
Josiah Jeffers 10.0 3.2 2.6 1.8 0.0 25.8
Dravon Mangum 7.1 3.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 21.6
Artese Stapleton 7.0 2.6 2.2 1.1 0.0 20.7

Akron Zips Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Ali Ali 13.9 2.9 2.6 0.5 0.3 34.2
Xavier Castaneda 13.6 3.6 2.3 0.9 0.1 31.9
Enrique Freeman 13.2 10.8 1.4 0.5 1.2 28.8
Bryan Trimble Jr. 10.4 2.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 28.2
Greg Tribble 7.2 2.8 2.2 1.1 0.2 25.8