🐻⬇️🏀

Oregon Ducks 21-7
@
2021-02-01
UCLA Bruins 22-10

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks UCLA Bruins Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 38.9% (#11) 61.1% (#21) UCLA Bruins -2.1 70-72
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 42.0% (#16) 58.0% (#13) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 39.2% (#20) 60.8% (#14) UCLA Bruins -2.4 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 48.7% (#51) 51.3% (#71) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 46.4% (#23) 53.6% (#21) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 46.4% (#23) 53.6% (#22) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 41.8% (#22) 58.2% (#17) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Oregon Ducks UCLA Bruins
Games 25 30
PPG 75.6 74.1
FG% 47.7% 46.1%
3PT% 38.7% 37.6%
FT% 71.1% 71.1%
RPG 33.2 35.4
APG 14.4 13.8
SPG 7.3 5.0
BPG 3.8 2.9
TOPG 11.2 10.3

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Oregon Ducks UCLA Bruins
Adj. Off Eff 110.6 110.6
Adj. Def Eff 89.4 89.4
Adj. Net Eff 21.1 21.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Oregon Ducks Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Will Richardson 11.7 3.5 3.9 1.0 0.0 35.3
Chris Duarte 17.0 4.4 2.6 1.9 0.7 33.7
LJ Figueroa 13.0 6.2 1.5 1.7 0.3 31.2
Eugene Omoruyi 17.0 5.3 2.3 1.4 0.6 30.8
Eric Williams Jr. 10.2 5.9 1.6 0.5 0.5 30.7

UCLA Bruins Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 12.3 6.1 1.7 1.2 0.7 34.9
Tyger Campbell 10.4 2.1 5.4 1.1 0.0 33.7
Johnny Juzang 16.0 4.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 32.3
Jules Bernard 10.3 5.1 1.7 0.5 0.2 28.8
Chris Smith 12.6 6.4 2.0 0.9 0.5 28.0