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Syracuse Orange 18-10
@
2020-12-30
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 6-16

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange Wake Forest ... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 83.9% (#24) 16.1% (#197) Syracuse Orange -12.6 77-64
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 81.1% (#49) 18.9% (#279) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 85.0% (#40) 15.0% (#138) Syracuse Orange -9.5 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 69.4% (#81) 30.6% (#283) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 90.0% (#38) 10.0% (#151) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 90.0% (#38) 10.0% (#150) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 67.9% (#37) 32.1% (#159) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Syracuse Orange Wake Forest ...
Games 21 16
PPG 72.1 66.9
FG% 43.2% 41.4%
3PT% 33.3% 35.7%
FT% 77.7% 71.8%
RPG 34.6 32.2
APG 14.7 11.6
SPG 7.8 6.2
BPG 5.2 2.2
TOPG 11.5 13.4

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Syracuse Orange Wake Forest ...
Adj. Off Eff 109.1 100.4
Adj. Def Eff 90.9 99.6
Adj. Net Eff 18.1 0.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Syracuse Orange Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Buddy Boeheim 17.8 2.8 2.6 1.3 0.0 36.7
Marek Dolezaj 9.7 5.1 3.1 1.2 0.9 35.3
Quincy Guerrier 13.7 8.5 0.8 0.8 1.2 33.0
Alan Griffin 13.0 5.7 1.7 1.2 1.7 29.3
Joseph Girard III 9.5 2.9 3.4 1.4 0.1 27.8

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Daivien Williamson 12.9 2.1 2.5 1.3 0.0 34.3
Isaiah Mucius 10.3 5.2 0.6 0.5 0.4 25.5
Ian DuBose 10.9 4.6 2.4 1.4 0.2 24.6
Carter Whitt 4.7 2.2 2.7 0.7 0.0 22.4
Ody Oguama 7.6 5.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 21.9