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2021-01-05
UCF Knights 11-12

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers UCF Knights Spread
Elo 68.3% (#13) 31.7% (#78) -
Bradley-Terry 60.6% (#38) 39.4% (#125) -
Margin 73.8% (#38) 26.2% (#101) Memphis Tigers -5.7
Pythagorean 64.3% (#16) 35.7% (#216) -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.1% (#30) 17.9% (#101) -
Log Adjusted 82.1% (#32) 17.9% (#101) -
Points Off/Def 60.5% (#34) 39.5% (#112) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Memphis Tigers UCF Knights
Games 1 3
PPG 64.0 67.7
FG% 46.9% 41.6%
3PT% 38.1% 32.1%
FT% 50.0% 78.1%
RPG 32.0 36.7
APG 14.0 9.3
SPG 7.0 7.3
BPG 4.0 2.3
TOPG 12.0 16.3

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Memphis Tigers UCF Knights
Adj. Off Eff 109.7 103.9
Adj. Def Eff 90.3 96.1
Adj. Net Eff 19.4 7.8

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Memphis Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
B. Ellis 13.3 2.4 2.1 1.1 0.0 27.6
L. Quinones 9.1 5.3 1.6 1.4 0.1 27.3
L. Nolley II 11.9 4.1 1.3 1.1 0.3 27.3
D.J. Jeffries 10.9 5.1 1.6 1.4 0.4 26.1
D. Williams 11.7 5.8 3.4 2.2 0.5 26.1

UCF Knights Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
B. Mahan 12.3 5.0 1.9 1.1 0.3 32.0
Da. Green Jr. 11.3 2.9 1.0 0.9 0.2 31.7
D. Perry 14.7 3.6 3.4 1.3 0.2 31.7
D. Fuller Jr. 7.0 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.3 27.4
C.J. Walker 7.0 5.0 0.9 0.9 1.7 25.7