🐻⬇️🏀

Memphis Tigers 20-8
@
2021-01-02
Temple Owls 5-11

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Temple Owls Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 82.0% (#13) 18.0% (#165) Memphis Tigers -11.6 76-65
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 77.3% (#38) 22.7% (#230) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 83.9% (#38) 16.1% (#132) Memphis Tigers -9.1 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 66.1% (#16) 33.9% (#233) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 88.3% (#30) 11.7% (#127) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 88.4% (#32) 11.6% (#127) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 66.9% (#34) 33.1% (#141) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Memphis Tigers Temple Owls
Games 25 2
PPG 73.0 50.5
FG% 44.7% 31.6%
3PT% 36.5% 29.4%
FT% 62.4% 67.4%
RPG 40.0 29.0
APG 16.1 12.0
SPG 8.6 3.0
BPG 4.9 1.5
TOPG 15.4 15.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Memphis Tigers Temple Owls
Adj. Off Eff 109.7 101.8
Adj. Def Eff 90.3 98.2
Adj. Net Eff 19.4 3.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Memphis Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Landers Nolley II 13.7 4.2 1.7 1.0 0.2 27.6
Lester Quinones 9.6 5.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 26.6
DeAndre Williams 11.7 5.8 3.4 2.2 0.5 26.1
D.J. Jeffries 9.8 5.1 1.8 0.9 0.8 25.3
Boogie Ellis 10.1 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.2 23.3

Temple Owls Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jeremiah Williams 9.1 3.5 4.1 1.1 0.3 32.5
Khalif Battle 16.2 6.3 2.7 0.3 0.3 32.3
Damian Dunn 13.5 4.2 2.2 0.4 0.1 27.8
B. Barry 7.3 1.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 26.3
J.P. Moorman II 8.8 4.1 2.3 0.6 0.3 25.8