Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fig... | Michigan Sta... | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% (#10) | 62.2% (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% (#14) | 53.8% (#19) | - |
| Margin | 49.3% (#10) | 50.7% (#18) | Michiga... -0.2 |
| Pythagorean | 68.7% (#7) | 31.3% (#66) | - |
| Efficiency | 89.5% (#8) | 10.5% (#42) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% (#7) | 10.6% (#59) | - |
| Log Adjusted | 89.5% (#7) | 10.5% (#59) | - |
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Illinois Fig... | Michigan Sta... |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 29 | 20 |
| PPG | 80.9 | 72.2 |
| FG% | 49.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.3% |
| FT% | 68.9% | 74.3% |
| RPG | 40.2 | 36.9 |
| APG | 16.4 | 17.4 |
| SPG | 5.7 | 4.5 |
| BPG | 2.7 | 4.8 |
| TOPG | 12.9 | 12.4 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Illinois Fig... | Michigan Sta... |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 108.8 | 100.4 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 91.2 | 99.6 |
| Adj. Net Eff | 17.6 | 0.9 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Illinois Fighting Illini Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dosunmu | 20.3 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 35.0 |
| T. Frazier | 10.5 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 34.0 |
| K. Cockburn | 18.2 | 9.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 27.3 |
| A. Miller | 8.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 25.2 |
| D. Williams | 5.3 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 24.8 |
Michigan State Spartans Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Henry | 14.9 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 31.4 |
| J. Langford | 9.7 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 27.3 |
| R. Watts | 8.6 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 23.6 |
| J. Hauser | 10.6 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 21.8 |
| G. Brown | 7.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 20.1 |