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2021-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Sta... Iowa Hawkeyes Spread
Elo 80.0% (#7) 20.0% (#62) -
Bradley-Terry 41.0% (#19) 59.0% (#16) -
Margin 36.2% (#18) 63.8% (#17) Iowa Hawkeyes -3.1
Pythagorean 29.4% (#66) 70.6% (#23) -
Efficiency 7.3% (#42) 92.7% (#13) -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.2% (#59) 88.8% (#16) -
Log Adjusted 11.0% (#59) 89.0% (#15) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Michigan Sta... Iowa Hawkeyes
Games 20 29
PPG 72.2 82.9
FG% 43.8% 47.1%
3PT% 33.3% 38.6%
FT% 74.3% 71.4%
RPG 36.9 39.6
APG 17.4 19.0
SPG 4.5 5.4
BPG 4.8 4.4
TOPG 12.4 9.4

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Michigan Sta... Iowa Hawkeyes
Adj. Off Eff 100.4 106.5
Adj. Def Eff 99.6 93.5
Adj. Net Eff 0.9 12.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Michigan State Spartans Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
A. Henry 14.9 5.8 3.6 1.4 1.3 31.4
J. Langford 9.7 3.3 1.9 0.6 0.3 27.3
R. Watts 8.6 1.8 3.0 0.1 0.0 23.6
J. Hauser 10.6 6.3 1.6 0.4 0.3 21.8
G. Brown 7.6 2.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 20.1

Iowa Hawkeyes Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
L. Garza 24.3 8.5 1.8 0.6 1.5 31.6
J. Wieskamp 14.9 6.6 1.6 1.0 0.3 29.6
J. Bohannon 10.3 3.1 4.4 0.5 0.0 29.2
CJ Fredrick Jr. 6.9 1.1 2.0 0.3 0.2 24.4
C. McCaffery 3.4 3.2 3.7 0.6 0.1 23.0