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Grambling Tigers 12-12
@
2020-12-12
Incarnate Word Cardinals 8-14

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers Incarnate Wo... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 70.5% (#251) 29.5% (#333) Grambli... -7.1 74-67
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 68.6% (#229) 31.4% (#331) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 50.3% (#315) 49.7% (#326) Grambli... -0.1 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 62.9% (#209) 37.1% (#303) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 57.1% (#311) 42.9% (#325) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 55.9% (#312) 44.1% (#325) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 48.8% (#308) 51.2% (#327) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Grambling Tigers Incarnate Wo...
Games 19 9
PPG 65.9 68.9
FG% 42.2% 44.1%
3PT% 31.5% 35.3%
FT% 66.1% 66.7%
RPG 33.9 31.6
APG 13.5 13.4
SPG 6.7 5.6
BPG 2.9 1.7
TOPG 15.6 13.2

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Grambling Tigers Incarnate Wo...
Adj. Off Eff 92.0 90.7
Adj. Def Eff 108.0 109.3
Adj. Net Eff -16.0 -18.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Grambling Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Trevell Cunningham 6.9 5.3 5.5 1.1 0.4 29.1
Cameron Christon 13.7 5.2 1.3 1.0 0.6 28.6
Prince Moss 9.8 3.8 1.6 0.8 0.3 26.8
Terreon Randolph 6.2 5.8 0.8 1.7 0.7 23.4
Tra'Michael Moton 7.0 2.0 2.9 1.2 0.0 22.3

Incarnate Word Cardinals Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Keaston Willis 17.6 4.4 2.1 1.1 0.0 31.7
Des Balentine 7.3 3.7 3.8 0.9 0.3 31.4
Brandon Swaby 7.9 3.3 1.4 0.9 0.1 29.3
Drew Lutz 7.5 1.9 3.3 0.9 0.0 25.5
Player #4593760 9.5 7.9 1.1 0.6 1.0 25.1