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Jackson State Tigers 12-6
@
2020-11-26
Ole Miss Rebels 16-12

Model Predictions

Model Jackson State Tigers Ole Miss Rebels Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 12.5% (#192) 87.5% (#72) Ole Miss Rebels -12.6 64-77
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 32.5% (#153) 67.5% (#89) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.7% (#281) 98.3% (#55) Ole Miss Rebels -22.3 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 43.7% (#100) 56.3% (#61) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#267) 99.0% (#45) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#268) 99.0% (#45) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 13.6% (#274) 86.4% (#50) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Jackson State Tigers Ole Miss Rebels
Games 13 27
PPG 67.1 68.5
FG% 39.2% 43.8%
3PT% 33.6% 30.1%
FT% 69.8% 70.3%
RPG 36.6 36.4
APG 11.0 12.0
SPG 8.0 7.5
BPG 3.5 3.9
TOPG 15.8 14.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Jackson State Tigers Ole Miss Rebels
Adj. Off Eff 94.8 108.4
Adj. Def Eff 105.2 91.6
Adj. Net Eff -10.5 16.8

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Jackson State Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jayveous McKinnis 12.5 13.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 32.6
Tristan Jarrett 21.1 5.3 1.4 1.4 0.4 31.8
Jonas James III 9.9 2.8 3.1 1.2 0.1 30.4
Cainan McClelland 6.1 2.2 2.2 1.3 0.2 27.5
Isaiah Williams 5.8 5.5 0.8 0.9 0.2 23.6

Ole Miss Rebels Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Devontae Shuler 15.2 3.2 3.2 1.5 0.1 33.0
Jarkel Joiner 12.2 2.6 1.7 1.1 0.1 30.8
Romello White 11.1 6.0 1.0 0.4 1.3 27.6
Luis Rodriguez 7.4 6.1 1.9 1.6 0.5 26.4
KJ Buffen 8.5 4.6 1.5 0.9 0.6 22.9