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Memphis Tigers 20-8
@
2020-12-05
Ole Miss Rebels 16-12

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Ole Miss Rebels Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 60.9% (#13) 39.1% (#72) Memphis Tigers -4.1 73-68
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 55.9% (#38) 44.1% (#89) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 51.6% (#38) 48.4% (#55) Memphis Tigers -0.3 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 51.1% (#16) 48.9% (#61) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 56.4% (#30) 43.6% (#45) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 55.8% (#32) 44.2% (#45) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 48.2% (#34) 51.8% (#50) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Memphis Tigers Ole Miss Rebels
Games 25 27
PPG 73.0 68.5
FG% 44.7% 43.8%
3PT% 36.5% 30.1%
FT% 62.4% 70.3%
RPG 40.0 36.4
APG 16.1 12.0
SPG 8.6 7.5
BPG 4.9 3.9
TOPG 15.4 14.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Memphis Tigers Ole Miss Rebels
Adj. Off Eff 109.7 108.4
Adj. Def Eff 90.3 91.6
Adj. Net Eff 19.4 16.8

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Memphis Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Landers Nolley II 13.7 4.2 1.7 1.0 0.2 27.6
Lester Quinones 9.6 5.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 26.6
DeAndre Williams 11.7 5.8 3.4 2.2 0.5 26.1
D.J. Jeffries 9.8 5.1 1.8 0.9 0.8 25.3
Boogie Ellis 10.1 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.2 23.3

Ole Miss Rebels Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Devontae Shuler 15.2 3.2 3.2 1.5 0.1 33.0
Jarkel Joiner 12.2 2.6 1.7 1.1 0.1 30.8
Romello White 11.1 6.0 1.0 0.4 1.3 27.6
Luis Rodriguez 7.4 6.1 1.9 1.6 0.5 26.4
KJ Buffen 8.5 4.6 1.5 0.9 0.6 22.9