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Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 18-8
@
2021-02-11
App State Mountaineers 17-12

Model Predictions

Model Coastal Caro... App State Mo... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 36.5% (#151) 63.5% (#155) App Sta... -2.8 69-72
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 49.3% (#109) 50.7% (#149) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 53.6% (#179) 46.4% (#206) Coastal... -0.8 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 55.0% (#76) 45.0% (#165) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 64.2% (#184) 35.8% (#240) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 64.3% (#184) 35.7% (#242) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 49.4% (#170) 50.6% (#204) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Coastal Caro... App State Mo...
Games 24 29
PPG 79.0 70.3
FG% 45.5% 40.9%
3PT% 35.5% 31.6%
FT% 72.6% 74.2%
RPG 43.0 36.3
APG 15.1 11.7
SPG 7.8 7.9
BPG 3.8 3.7
TOPG 15.2 11.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Coastal Caro... App State Mo...
Adj. Off Eff 98.9 96.5
Adj. Def Eff 101.1 103.5
Adj. Net Eff -2.2 -7.0

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Coastal Carolina ... Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Ebrima Dibba 7.6 5.6 5.5 1.5 0.1 33.6
DeVante Jones 19.1 7.1 2.8 2.8 0.2 33.3
DeAnthony Tipler Jr. 13.7 2.5 1.6 1.0 0.0 26.4
Essam Mostafa 12.2 8.9 0.9 0.5 0.9 25.4
Tyrik Dixon 11.3 3.1 2.8 1.4 0.1 23.8

App State Mountaineers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Adrian Delph 13.0 4.4 1.2 1.2 0.5 32.6
Michael Almonacy 12.7 4.3 2.8 1.3 0.1 31.5
Donovan Gregory 10.7 6.1 2.4 1.9 0.5 31.3
Justin Forrest 13.2 3.4 2.6 1.5 0.1 28.8
Kendall Lewis 9.9 4.1 1.7 1.1 0.7 22.6