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Pacific Tigers 9-9
@
2021-01-28
Santa Clara Broncos 12-8

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Santa Clara Broncos Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 36.2% (#159) 63.8% (#160) Santa C... -2.9 69-72
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 38.8% (#137) 61.2% (#105) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 52.5% (#128) 47.5% (#155) Pacific Tigers -0.5 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 46.1% (#223) 53.9% (#214) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 58.7% (#128) 41.3% (#158) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 58.5% (#128) 41.5% (#159) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 47.9% (#135) 52.1% (#171) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Pacific Tigers Santa Clara Broncos
Games 16 14
PPG 68.0 68.4
FG% 43.0% 43.2%
3PT% 29.5% 29.2%
FT% 66.5% 68.1%
RPG 33.9 34.8
APG 11.9 10.7
SPG 6.8 4.5
BPG 3.4 3.4
TOPG 11.9 12.9

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Pacific Tigers Santa Clara Broncos
Adj. Off Eff 101.7 100.1
Adj. Def Eff 98.3 99.9
Adj. Net Eff 3.5 0.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Pacific Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Daniss Jenkins 12.2 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.7 31.2
J. Bailey 11.4 6.2 1.1 1.7 0.3 30.9
B. Finstuen 11.2 5.7 1.1 0.6 0.4 28.4
P. Crockrell II 10.1 2.5 4.1 0.8 0.1 26.4
Jordan Bell 8.9 6.9 0.9 1.2 0.9 25.6

Santa Clara Broncos Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Keshawn Justice 10.9 5.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 33.5
Jal. Williams 11.5 4.1 2.3 1.2 0.6 31.6
C. Carlyle 9.0 2.3 2.1 0.5 0.2 30.7
J. Vrankic 15.2 8.2 1.9 1.0 0.4 29.4
Guglielmo Caruso 9.3 4.8 0.9 0.2 0.9 22.7