🐻⬇️🏀

Clemson Tigers 16-15
@
2020-03-12
Florida State Seminoles 26-5

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers Florida Stat... Spread Projected
Elo
2019-20 season-end ratings
 12.9% (#68) 87.1% (#4) Florida... -12.1 66-78
Bradley-Terry
2019-20 season-end ratings
 13.7% (#119) 86.3% (#6) - -
Margin
2019-20 season-end ratings
 13.0% (#69) 87.0% (#14) Florida... -10.5 -
Pythagorean
2019-20 season-end ratings
 39.1% (#121) 60.9% (#17) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2019-20 season-end ratings
 16.2% (#68) 83.8% (#16) - -
Log Adjusted
2019-20 season-end ratings
 16.2% (#67) 83.8% (#16) - -
Points Off/Def
2019-20 season-end ratings
 28.2% (#73) 71.8% (#14) - -

2019-20 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.8-point home edge (2018-19 margin fit); projected score: 2018-19's average total of 144 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Clemson Tigers Florida Stat...
Games 29 30
PPG 65.8 75.7
FG% 42.5% 45.8%
3PT% 30.9% 35.5%
FT% 68.5% 74.9%
RPG 33.8 35.8
APG 12.6 13.1
SPG 6.7 8.7
BPG 2.2 5.1
TOPG 12.6 13.2

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Clemson Tigers Florida Stat...
Adj. Off Eff 106.7 111.4
Adj. Def Eff 93.3 88.6
Adj. Net Eff 13.3 22.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Clemson Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
John Newman III 9.3 4.0 2.2 1.0 0.5 31.6
Aamir Simms 12.7 7.2 2.6 1.0 0.7 31.4
Al-Amir Dawes 9.0 2.8 2.5 1.0 0.0 29.8
Tevin Mack 12.2 5.2 0.9 1.1 0.6 28.4
Clyde Trapp 6.0 3.9 2.5 0.7 0.1 25.6

Florida State Seminoles Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Trent Forrest 11.6 4.5 4.0 1.9 0.5 30.7
Devin Vassell 12.8 5.2 1.6 1.4 0.9 29.1
MJ Walker 10.6 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2 25.3
Patrick Williams 9.4 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 22.4
Anthony Polite 5.6 2.9 1.0 1.2 0.2 19.7