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Texas Tech Red Raiders 18-13
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2020-03-12
Texas Longhorns 19-12

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech R... Texas Longhorns Spread Projected
Elo
2019-20 season-end ratings
 48.1% (#23) 51.9% (#49) Texas T... -0.7 73-72
Bradley-Terry
2019-20 season-end ratings
 38.8% (#74) 61.2% (#59) - -
Margin
2019-20 season-end ratings
 64.7% (#21) 35.3% (#67) Texas T... -3.3 -
Pythagorean
2019-20 season-end ratings
 56.9% (#23) 43.1% (#158) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2019-20 season-end ratings
 75.1% (#18) 24.9% (#62) - -
Log Adjusted
2019-20 season-end ratings
 75.6% (#17) 24.4% (#62) - -
Points Off/Def
2019-20 season-end ratings
 57.2% (#21) 42.8% (#71) - -

2019-20 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.8-point home edge (2018-19 margin fit); projected score: 2018-19's average total of 144 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Texas Tech R... Texas Longhorns
Games 14 18
PPG 73.6 60.9
FG% 47.0% 39.9%
3PT% 33.5% 29.4%
FT% 74.3% 69.4%
RPG 34.0 31.9
APG 16.9 11.1
SPG 8.1 5.3
BPG 3.9 4.4
TOPG 14.1 12.6

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Texas Tech R... Texas Longhorns
Adj. Off Eff 111.3 107.1
Adj. Def Eff 88.7 92.9
Adj. Net Eff 22.6 14.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Texas Tech Red Raiders Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Davide Moretti 13.0 1.7 2.3 1.2 0.0 34.1
Kyler Edwards 11.4 4.0 3.1 0.9 0.5 33.4
Jahmi'us Ramsey 15.0 4.0 2.2 1.3 0.7 31.2
TJ Holyfield 8.9 4.5 1.2 0.8 1.6 24.4
Chris Clarke 5.6 6.6 4.6 0.9 0.1 24.3

Texas Longhorns Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Matt Coleman III 12.8 2.9 3.5 1.3 0.1 33.6
Courtney Ramey 10.9 3.8 2.9 1.0 0.1 31.3
Jase Febres 9.5 2.5 1.0 0.6 0.5 30.3
Jericho Sims 9.8 8.0 0.8 0.4 1.1 27.2
Andrew Jones 11.7 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 26.8