🐻⬇️🏀

Hampton Pirates 19-16
@
2018-01-08
Howard Bison 10-23

Model Predictions

Model Hampton Pirates Howard Bison Spread Projected
Elo
2017-18 season-end ratings
 78.3% (#221) 21.7% (#344) Hampton Pirates -10.9 78-67
Bradley-Terry
2017-18 season-end ratings
 66.5% (#248) 33.5% (#331) - -
Margin
2017-18 season-end ratings
 68.1% (#272) 31.9% (#336) Hampton Pirates -4.2 -
Pythagorean
2017-18 season-end ratings
 64.2% (#162) 35.8% (#294) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2017-18 season-end ratings
 89.0% (#207) 11.0% (#335) - -
Log Adjusted
2017-18 season-end ratings
 83.7% (#251) 16.3% (#336) - -
Points Off/Def
2017-18 season-end ratings
 58.7% (#269) 41.3% (#336) - -

2017-18 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.2 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.6-point home edge (2016-17 margin fit); projected score: 2016-17's average total of 146 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Hampton Pirates Howard Bison
Games 34 32
PPG 79.5 74.9
FG% 44.6% 42.7%
3PT% 31.6% 35.4%
FT% 77.7% 70.9%
RPG 40.4 34.9
APG 15.2 12.3
SPG 5.4 5.3
BPG 3.6 2.8
TOPG 12.9 13.2

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Hampton Pirates Howard Bison
Adj. Off Eff 97.6 89.5
Adj. Def Eff 102.4 110.5
Adj. Net Eff -4.8 -21.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Hampton Pirates Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jermaine Marrow 19.1 5.0 5.4 1.3 0.0 34.6
Kalin Fisher 12.8 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1 30.5
Akim Mitchell 8.0 4.5 1.5 0.7 0.1 26.8
Malique Trent-Street 13.3 4.0 3.4 1.7 0.3 25.6
Greg Heckstall 8.0 6.1 2.1 0.3 0.5 25.3

Howard Bison Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
R.J. Cole 23.7 3.9 6.0 1.7 0.0 37.9
Charles Williams 20.4 3.4 0.6 0.8 0.3 35.5
Zion Cousins 5.8 7.1 0.5 0.4 1.2 29.8
Jalen Jones 3.4 4.9 0.9 0.6 0.5 21.8
Cameron Lewis 4.0 3.6 1.0 0.4 0.5 19.5