Grace Mbugua
Team: Louisville
Position: F
Career Averages
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 18 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 42.3% | 20.0% | 66.7% |
Plus/minus sample — 2025-2026: 16 games, 127.5 minutes, 433.2 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 16 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.69 | 3550 | 127 | 433 | +13 | +0.8 | +4.1 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs — 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More → | -2.69 (#3550) | SE 3.35 | Poss 433 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More → | -2.69 (#3550) | Off -0.64 | Def -2.05 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More → | +3.00 (#1776) | PM/G +0.8 | PM/40 +4.1 |
| Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. More → | 5.440 (#1361) | Vec (+3.21, +0.37) | Norm 3.23 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More → | +0.98 (#988) | Pts For +0.98 | Prevent +0.51 | Net +1.49 | Min 134 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More → | +0.51 (#1434) | Pts For +0.98 | Prevent +0.51 | Net +1.49 | Min 134 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More → | +1.49 (#1063) | Pts For +0.98 | Prevent +0.51 | Net +1.49 | Min 134 |
| Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. More → | +0.62 (#706) | Reb For +0.62 | Prevent +0.30 | Net +0.92 | Min 134 |
| Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. More → | +0.30 (#1298) | Reb For +0.62 | Prevent +0.30 | Net +0.92 | Min 134 |
| Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. More → | +0.38 (#730) | OReb For +0.38 | Prevent +0.14 | Net +0.52 | Min 134 |
| Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. More → | +0.14 (#1501) | OReb For +0.38 | Prevent +0.14 | Net +0.52 | Min 134 |
| Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. More → | +0.52 (#765) | OReb For +0.38 | Prevent +0.14 | Net +0.52 | Min 134 |
| Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. More → | +0.24 (#1219) | DReb For +0.24 | Prevent +0.16 | Net +0.40 | Min 134 |
| Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. More → | +0.16 (#1399) | DReb For +0.24 | Prevent +0.16 | Net +0.40 | Min 134 |
| Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. More → | +0.40 (#1144) | DReb For +0.24 | Prevent +0.16 | Net +0.40 | Min 134 |
| Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. More → | +0.92 (#811) | Reb For +0.62 | Prevent +0.30 | Net +0.92 | Min 134 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More → | +0.40 (#784) | Ast For +0.40 | Prevent +0.18 | Net +0.58 | Min 134 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More → | +0.18 (#1435) | Ast For +0.40 | Prevent +0.18 | Net +0.58 | Min 134 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More → | +0.58 (#856) | Ast For +0.40 | Prevent +0.18 | Net +0.58 | Min 134 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More → | +0.09 (#1487) | 3PM For +0.09 | Prevent -0.02 | Net +0.06 | Min 134 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More → | -0.02 (#2533) | 3PM For +0.09 | Prevent -0.02 | Net +0.06 | Min 134 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More → | +0.06 (#1766) | 3PM For +0.09 | Prevent -0.02 | Net +0.06 | Min 134 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More → | +0.26 (#1054) | Stocks For +0.26 | Prevent +0.21 | Net +0.47 | Min 134 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More → | +0.21 (#1131) | Stocks For +0.26 | Prevent +0.21 | Net +0.47 | Min 134 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More → | +0.47 (#894) | Stocks For +0.26 | Prevent +0.21 | Net +0.47 | Min 134 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More → | +0.09 (#1719) | TOV For +0.09 | Prevent +0.13 | Net +0.21 | Min 134 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More → | +0.13 (#1489) | TOV For +0.09 | Prevent +0.13 | Net +0.21 | Min 134 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More → | +0.21 (#1441) | TOV For +0.09 | Prevent +0.13 | Net +0.21 | Min 134 |
Shot Chart — 2025-2026
22/52 FG (42.3%), 46 points from the field · ESPN shot locations · compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 8 | 9 | 88.9 | 58.6 | +30.3 | 17.3 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 5 | 15 | 33.3 | 40.9 | -7.6 | 28.8 |
| Mid-range left | 3 | 6 | 50.0 | 32.4 | +17.6 | 11.5 |
| Mid-range center | 3 | 6 | 50.0 | 35.8 | +14.2 | 11.5 |
| Mid-range right | 1 | 6 | 16.7 | 31.8 | -15.1 | 11.5 |
| Left corner 3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.0 | - | 0.0 |
| Right corner 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 32.6 | -32.6 | 1.9 |
| Above-break 3 left | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 30.7 | -30.7 | 1.9 |
| Above-break 3 center | 2 | 7 | 28.6 | 30.4 | -1.8 | 13.5 |
| Above-break 3 right | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 30.9 | -30.9 | 1.9 |
Career Stats
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 18 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAW | Louisville Cardinals | 18 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 42.3% | 20.0% | 66.7% | 47.1 | 44.2 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 18 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | @ | Michigan Wolverines | L | 52-71 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2026-03-21 | vs | Vermont Catamounts | W | 72-52 | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -7.3 |
| 2026-03-06 | vs | Syracuse Orange | W | 87-61 | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | - |
| 2026-03-01 | vs | Notre Dame Fighting | L | 62-65 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2.0 | +7.9 |
| 2026-02-26 | @ | Georgia Tech Yellow | W | 69-50 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | +2.1 |
| 2026-02-22 | vs | Virginia Cavaliers | L | 72-74 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.0 | -1.3 |
| 2026-02-15 | vs | Florida State Semino | W | 88-65 | 12 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | vs | Wake Forest Demon De | W | 86-67 | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.6 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Syracuse Orange | W | 84-65 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.0 | - |
| 2026-02-01 | @ | California Golden Be | W | 71-59 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -5.8 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Stanford Cardinal | W | 84-66 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | - |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Boston College Eagle | W | 85-56 | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9.0 | -0.5 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Notre Dame Fighting | W | 79-66 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.9 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Pittsburgh Panthers | W | 86-46 | 22 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14.0 | +7.0 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Miami Hurricanes | W | 77-68 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1.0 | - |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Virginia Tech Hokies | W | 85-60 | 7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.0 | +0.1 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | SMU Mustangs | W | 91-58 | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5.0 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Eastern Kentucky Col | W | 76-51 | 11 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5.0 | - |