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Elina Aarnisalo

Elina Aarnisalo

Team: North Carolina
Position: G

Career Averages

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 73 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
73 23.8 7.6 2.8 3.2 0.8 0.1 2.1 6.5 5.8 46.0% 35.0% 76.6%

Plus/minus sample β€” 2025-2026: 31 games, 774.7 minutes, 2475.0 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 31 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
+3.86 208 774 2475 +230 +7.4 +11.9

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)

Model Outputs β€” 2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 2.44 | Poss 2475 More β†’ +3.86 (#208) SE 2.44 | Poss 2475
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off +2.25 | Def +1.61 More β†’ +3.86 (#208) Off +2.25 | Def +1.61
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G +7.4 | PM/40 +11.9 More β†’ +9.29 (#238) PM/G +7.4 | PM/40 +11.9
Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. Vec (+3.70, +0.42) | Norm 3.72 More β†’ 5.696 (#1306) Vec (+3.70, +0.42) | Norm 3.72
Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Pts For +3.75 | Prevent +2.78 | Net +6.53 | Min 962 More β†’ +3.75 (#152) Pts For +3.75 | Prevent +2.78 | Net +6.53 | Min 962
Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Pts For +3.75 | Prevent +2.78 | Net +6.53 | Min 962 More β†’ +2.78 (#96) Pts For +3.75 | Prevent +2.78 | Net +6.53 | Min 962
Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. Pts For +3.75 | Prevent +2.78 | Net +6.53 | Min 962 More β†’ +6.53 (#77) Pts For +3.75 | Prevent +2.78 | Net +6.53 | Min 962
Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. Reb For +1.04 | Prevent +1.69 | Net +2.74 | Min 962 More β†’ +1.04 (#336) Reb For +1.04 | Prevent +1.69 | Net +2.74 | Min 962
Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. Reb For +1.04 | Prevent +1.69 | Net +2.74 | Min 962 More β†’ +1.69 (#118) Reb For +1.04 | Prevent +1.69 | Net +2.74 | Min 962
Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. OReb For +0.28 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +1.00 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.28 (#935) OReb For +0.28 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +1.00 | Min 962
Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. OReb For +0.28 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +1.00 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.71 (#163) OReb For +0.28 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +1.00 | Min 962
Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. OReb For +0.28 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +1.00 | Min 962 More β†’ +1.00 (#327) OReb For +0.28 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +1.00 | Min 962
Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. DReb For +0.76 | Prevent +0.98 | Net +1.74 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.76 (#420) DReb For +0.76 | Prevent +0.98 | Net +1.74 | Min 962
Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. DReb For +0.76 | Prevent +0.98 | Net +1.74 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.98 (#180) DReb For +0.76 | Prevent +0.98 | Net +1.74 | Min 962
Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. DReb For +0.76 | Prevent +0.98 | Net +1.74 | Min 962 More β†’ +1.74 (#150) DReb For +0.76 | Prevent +0.98 | Net +1.74 | Min 962
Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. Reb For +1.04 | Prevent +1.69 | Net +2.74 | Min 962 More β†’ +2.74 (#155) Reb For +1.04 | Prevent +1.69 | Net +2.74 | Min 962
Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Ast For +0.97 | Prevent +0.94 | Net +1.91 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.97 (#300) Ast For +0.97 | Prevent +0.94 | Net +1.91 | Min 962
Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Ast For +0.97 | Prevent +0.94 | Net +1.91 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.94 (#163) Ast For +0.97 | Prevent +0.94 | Net +1.91 | Min 962
Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Ast For +0.97 | Prevent +0.94 | Net +1.91 | Min 962 More β†’ +1.91 (#119) Ast For +0.97 | Prevent +0.94 | Net +1.91 | Min 962
Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. 3PM For +0.85 | Prevent +0.31 | Net +1.16 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.85 (#140) 3PM For +0.85 | Prevent +0.31 | Net +1.16 | Min 962
Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. 3PM For +0.85 | Prevent +0.31 | Net +1.16 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.31 (#464) 3PM For +0.85 | Prevent +0.31 | Net +1.16 | Min 962
Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. 3PM For +0.85 | Prevent +0.31 | Net +1.16 | Min 962 More β†’ +1.16 (#98) 3PM For +0.85 | Prevent +0.31 | Net +1.16 | Min 962
Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Stocks For +0.23 | Prevent +0.75 | Net +0.98 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.23 (#1136) Stocks For +0.23 | Prevent +0.75 | Net +0.98 | Min 962
Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Stocks For +0.23 | Prevent +0.75 | Net +0.98 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.75 (#199) Stocks For +0.23 | Prevent +0.75 | Net +0.98 | Min 962
Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Stocks For +0.23 | Prevent +0.75 | Net +0.98 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.98 (#377) Stocks For +0.23 | Prevent +0.75 | Net +0.98 | Min 962
Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. TOV For +0.63 | Prevent -0.20 | Net +0.43 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.63 (#510) TOV For +0.63 | Prevent -0.20 | Net +0.43 | Min 962
Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. TOV For +0.63 | Prevent -0.20 | Net +0.43 | Min 962 More β†’ -0.20 (#2936) TOV For +0.63 | Prevent -0.20 | Net +0.43 | Min 962
Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. TOV For +0.63 | Prevent -0.20 | Net +0.43 | Min 962 More β†’ +0.43 (#1000) TOV For +0.63 | Prevent -0.20 | Net +0.43 | Min 962

Shot Chart β€” 2025-2026

147/311 FG (47.3%), 330 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average

made missed Β· 1 long heave not drawn
71%32/45 46%46/99 40%12/30 56%10/18 41%11/27 40%2/5 33%1/3 41%11/27 53%10/19 32%12/38
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 32 45 71.1 58.6 +12.5 14.5
Paint (non-RA) 46 99 46.5 40.9 +5.6 31.8
Mid-range left 12 30 40.0 32.4 +7.6 9.6
Mid-range center 10 18 55.6 35.8 +19.8 5.8
Mid-range right 11 27 40.7 31.8 +8.9 8.7
Left corner 3 2 5 40.0 33.0 +7.0 1.6
Right corner 3 1 3 33.3 32.6 +0.7 1.0
Above-break 3 left 11 27 40.7 30.7 +10.0 8.7
Above-break 3 center 10 19 52.6 30.4 +22.2 6.1
Above-break 3 right 12 38 31.6 30.9 +0.7 12.2

Career Stats

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 73 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2025-2026 NCAAW North Carolina Tar Heels 36 26.7 10.2 3.4 2.9 0.9 0.2 2.2 8.6 6.7 47.3% 40.4% 76.1% 55.4 53.4
2024-2025 NCAAW UCLA Bruins 37 20.9 5.1 2.2 3.4 0.7 0.1 2.0 4.5 5.0 43.7% 27.0% 77.4% 51.8 48.8

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Game Log

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 73 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-03-27 @ UConn Huskies L 42-63 35 1-11 0-1 0-0 4 6 0 0 6 2 -5.0 -6.8
2026-03-22 vs Maryland Terrapins W 74-66 39 8-14 1-3 4-4 6 2 1 0 5 21 11.0 +18.7
2026-03-20 vs Western Illinois Lea W 82-51 28 3-7 1-4 0-3 8 1 0 1 1 7 9.0 -
2026-03-07 @ Louisville Cardinals L 57-65 40 7-12 1-3 2-3 4 5 1 0 2 17 13.0 +4.6
2026-03-06 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 85-68 34 7-14 2-3 2-3 5 6 0 1 1 18 15.0 +9.9
2026-03-01 vs Duke Blue Devils W 74-69 38 7-13 4-5 4-4 7 4 2 0 4 22 18.0 +9.6
2026-02-26 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 82-70 36 8-13 4-5 0-0 7 4 0 0 2 20 16.0 +6.8
2026-02-22 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 78-50 29 4-9 2-5 1-2 6 5 1 0 4 11 10.0 +1.1
2026-02-19 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 66-63 37 5-13 2-3 1-2 3 5 0 0 4 13 4.0 +6.5
2026-02-15 @ Duke Blue Devils L 68-72 36 4-16 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 8 -1.0 +6.2
2026-02-12 vs SMU Mustangs W 94-42 26 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 5 1 1 2 7 7.0 -
2026-02-08 @ Wake Forest Demon De W 84-56 27 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 4 2 0 3 5 5.0 -
2026-02-05 vs Clemson Tigers W 53-44 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 4 0.0 -4.9
2026-02-02 @ NC State Wolfpack W 61-59 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2.0 -2.1
2026-01-25 vs Syracuse Orange W 77-71 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0.0 -
2026-01-22 @ Georgia Tech Yellow W 54-46 23 5-8 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 1 3 10 7.0 -
2026-01-18 @ Florida State Semino W 82-55 24 3-9 1-5 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 9 5.0 -
2026-01-15 vs Miami Hurricanes W 73-62 18 3-8 1-4 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 9 8.0 -
2026-01-11 @ Notre Dame Fighting L 50-73 19 3-5 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 4 7 0.0 -4.4
2026-01-04 vs Stanford Cardinal L 71-77 34 4-9 2-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 12 7.0 -
2026-01-01 vs California Golden Be W 71-55 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1.0 -7.8
2025-12-29 @ Boston College Eagle W 90-39 21 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 4 4 0 1 9 12.0 +28.2
2025-12-21 vs Charleston Southern W 93-74 30 6-8 2-2 2-2 3 4 2 0 2 16 15.0 -
2025-12-17 vs UNC Wilmington Seaha W 84-34 17 4-10 1-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 9 3.0 -
2025-12-14 vs Louisville Cardinals L 66-76 23 1-8 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 2 -2.0 -13.1
2025-12-07 vs Boston University Te W 82-40 27 6-11 2-3 0-0 6 4 0 0 3 14 10.0 -
2025-12-04 @ Texas Longhorns L 64-79 31 6-7 0-1 4-4 3 2 1 0 3 16 12.0 +5.9
2025-11-29 @ Columbia Lions W 80-63 36 6-11 1-2 2-2 0 3 3 0 1 15 9.0 +5.4
2025-11-28 vs Kansas State Wildcat W 85-73 18 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 7 1.0 +9.1
2025-11-27 @ South Dakota State J W 83-48 29 5-8 0-0 4-5 2 4 1 0 0 14 13.0 +21.8
2025-11-23 vs UNC Greensboro Spart W 94-48 27 5-7 3-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 13 10.0 -
2025-11-20 @ North Carolina A&T A W 85-50 24 6-8 1-2 0-1 2 2 3 0 4 13 8.0 -
2025-11-15 vs Fairfield Stags W 82-68 24 2-7 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 7 7.0 -
2025-11-13 @ UCLA Bruins L 60-78 36 6-16 1-7 0-0 3 3 1 1 3 13 2.0 -2.9
2025-11-06 vs Elon Phoenix W 71-37 28 1-9 0-3 0-0 8 4 2 0 1 2 6.0 +17.0
2025-11-03 vs North Carolina Centr W 90-42 28 6-11 1-3 0-1 3 3 0 0 1 13 7.0 -
2025-04-04 vs UConn Huskies L 51-85 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 0.0 -12.5
2025-03-30 vs LSU Tigers W 72-65 16 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0.0 -1.6
2025-03-28 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 76-62 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 1.0 -6.0
2025-03-23 vs Richmond Spiders W 84-67 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 -1.0 -
2025-03-21 vs Southern Jaguars W 84-46 24 3-4 1-1 3-3 2 0 1 0 2 10 7.0 -
2025-03-09 @ USC Trojans W 72-67 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0.0 -
2025-03-08 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 75-46 26 1-7 0-1 0-0 7 6 1 0 4 2 5.0 -
2025-03-07 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 85-74 10 0-3 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1.0 -4.8
2025-03-01 vs USC Trojans L 67-80 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 2 6.0 -
2025-02-26 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 91-61 28 4-8 0-2 0-0 1 6 1 0 2 8 6.0 +5.4
2025-02-23 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 67-65 13 2-5 0-3 2-3 0 1 0 0 0 6 2.0 -
2025-02-20 vs Illinois Fighting Il W 70-55 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 1.0 +8.4
2025-02-16 vs Michigan State Spart W 75-69 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 3 0 0 2 3 2.0 -
2025-02-13 @ USC Trojans L 60-71 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 0 0.0 -
2025-02-09 @ Oregon Ducks W 62-52 22 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 5 2 0 0 5 7.0 +5.6
2025-02-05 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 65-52 28 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 5 1 0 1 2 5.0 -
2025-02-02 vs Minnesota Golden Gop W 79-53 31 6-10 2-6 1-2 5 2 2 0 1 15 13.0 +7.8
2025-01-26 @ Maryland Terrapins W 82-67 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1.0 -5.2
2025-01-23 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knig W 84-66 22 0-4 0-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 3 2 0.0 -12.3
2025-01-20 @ Baylor Bears W 72-57 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 0 2.0 -2.0
2025-01-15 vs Penn State Lady Lion W 83-67 24 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 6 1 0 1 6 9.0 -
2025-01-07 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 83-49 27 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 7 0 0 1 2 7.0 +9.0
2025-01-04 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 73-62 17 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 1.0 +0.8
2025-01-01 vs Michigan Wolverines W 86-70 17 2-2 1-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 4 6 5.0 -
2024-12-29 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 91-54 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 2 -4.0 +8.8
2024-12-20 vs Creighton Bluejays W 70-41 26 3-9 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 6 2.0 -
2024-12-16 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 69-37 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 5 7.0 -
2024-12-14 @ Long Beach State Bea W 102-51 30 3-7 1-2 0-0 4 6 3 0 1 7 12.0 -3.6
2024-12-08 @ Washington Huskies W 73-62 24 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 4 -1.0 -8.2
2024-12-01 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Wahi W 70-49 23 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 4 7.0 -
2024-11-30 vs Fresno State Bulldog W 97-41 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 7 0 0 1 4 11.0 +10.6
2024-11-29 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 97-37 25 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 5 2 0 1 5 10.0 -
2024-11-24 vs South Carolina Gamec W 77-62 27 6-10 1-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 13 10.0 +1.7
2024-11-17 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 101-52 25 3-11 1-6 0-0 5 11 1 0 1 7 12.0 +19.0
2024-11-12 vs Pepperdine Waves W 91-54 28 5-6 3-3 3-4 5 9 1 0 2 16 23.0 +3.9
2024-11-10 vs Colgate Raiders W 81-63 32 8-10 2-4 1-1 5 6 2 0 6 19 16.0 -
2024-11-04 vs Louisville Cardinals W 66-59 29 4-8 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 6 8 1.0 -