Natalie Johnson
Team: Saint Francis Red Flash
Position: G
Career Averages
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 117 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Nums/G | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 15.4 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 41.1% | 31.5% | 64.4% |
Plus/minus sample — 2025-2026: 25 games, 384.1 minutes, 1377.4 possessions. A model's games can differ from Season Averages: a run can include playoff games, or only the games with play-by-play.
Advanced Stats
Model outputs use a separate game sample from the counting statistics. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 25 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.96 | 2227 | -78 | -3.1 | -8.1 |
RAPM sample — 2025-2026: 381.3 minutes, 1342.5 possessions.
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus, points per 40 minutes above average (a per-100-possession fit scaled by 0.70). Legacy-run units are unverified.
Stat models — 2025-2026
Leaderboards and Box vs LineupEach family in both forms, side by side: the rating, then its percentile among the season's players with that form (the bar). Lineup RAPM: on-court possessions from play-by-play, one regularized regression over the season. Box Elo: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Each is an on-floor team-rate impact, not the player's own count. Lineup RAPM is not published for 2025-2026 (apart from RAPM itself).
| Family | Lineup RAPM | %ile | Box Elo | %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | -1.0 | 52 | -3.7 | 26 |
| Threes | not published | 1.9 | 82 | |
| Assists | not published | -1.1 | 28 | |
| OReb | not published | -2.0 | 23 | |
| DReb | not published | 2.2 | 70 | |
| Stocks | not published | -1.6 | 21 | |
| Turnovers | not published | -2.1 | 18 | |
Points' Lineup RAPM is RAPM itself. Held-out scores, a Box vs Lineup scatter and each form's team share: stat models.
Model Outputs — 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted Plus/Minus Adjusted Plus/Minus Unregularized adjusted plus-minus per 40 minutes. More → | +0.04 (#1905) | - |
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More → | -0.96 (#2227) | SE 2.44 | Poss 1343 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More → | -0.57 (#1998) | Off -0.10 | Def -0.46 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More → | -5.66 (#3312) | PM/G -3.1 | PM/40 -8.1 |
| Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. More → | 1.959 (#2379) | legacy (no current published run); Vec (+1.72, -0.15) | Norm 1.72 |
| Points Box Elo (offense) Points Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +0.53 (#2343) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +0.53 | Prevent -4.25 | Net -3.72 | Min 458 |
| Points Box Elo (defense) Points Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -4.25 (#3740) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +0.53 | Prevent -4.25 | Net -3.72 | Min 458 |
| Points Box Elo Points Box Elo Net point-differential Box Elo from points created plus points prevented. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -3.72 (#3195) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +0.53 | Prevent -4.25 | Net -3.72 | Min 458 |
| OReb Box Elo OReb Box Elo Online player rating for the team's offensive rebound rate (OREB%) on offense. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -2.00 (#3367) | Box: cannot separate teammates; OReb% -2.00 | DReb% +2.16 | Min 458 |
| DReb Box Elo DReb Box Elo Online player rating for the team's defensive rebound rate (DREB%) on defense. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +2.16 (#1312) | Box: cannot separate teammates; OReb% -2.00 | DReb% +2.16 | Min 458 |
| Assists Box Elo (offense) Assists Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -1.54 (#3567) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -1.54 | Prevent +0.43 | Net -1.11 | Min 458 |
| Assists Box Elo (defense) Assists Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +0.43 (#2159) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -1.54 | Prevent +0.43 | Net -1.11 | Min 458 |
| Assists Box Elo Assists Box Elo Net assist Box Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -1.11 (#3091) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -1.54 | Prevent +0.43 | Net -1.11 | Min 458 |
| Threes Box Elo (offense) Threes Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +1.62 (#658) | Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For +1.62 | Prevent +0.23 | Net +1.85 | Min 458 |
| Threes Box Elo (defense) Threes Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +0.23 (#1981) | Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For +1.62 | Prevent +0.23 | Net +1.85 | Min 458 |
| Threes Box Elo Threes Box Elo Net made-three Box Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +1.85 (#774) | Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For +1.62 | Prevent +0.23 | Net +1.85 | Min 458 |
| Stocks Box Elo (offense) Stocks Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -3.08 (#4134) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For -3.08 | Prevent +1.50 | Net -1.58 | Min 458 |
| Stocks Box Elo (defense) Stocks Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +1.50 (#938) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For -3.08 | Prevent +1.50 | Net -1.58 | Min 458 |
| Stocks Box Elo Stocks Box Elo Net stocks Box Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -1.58 (#3468) | Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For -3.08 | Prevent +1.50 | Net -1.58 | Min 458 |
| Turnovers Box Elo (ball security) Turnovers Box Elo (ball security) Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | +0.47 (#2043) | Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For +0.47 | Prevent -2.59 | Net -2.12 | Min 458 |
| Turnovers Box Elo (forcing) Turnovers Box Elo (forcing) Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -2.59 (#3934) | Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For +0.47 | Prevent -2.59 | Net -2.12 | Min 458 |
| Turnovers Box Elo Turnovers Box Elo Net turnover Box Elo from ball security plus turnover force. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. More → | -2.12 (#3629) | Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For +0.47 | Prevent -2.59 | Net -2.12 | Min 458 |
League scatter
Shot Chart — 2025-2026
55/149 FG (36.9%), 123 points from the field in 28 games · ESPN shot locations · compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 14 | 30 | 46.7 | 58.6 | -11.9 | 20.1 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 22 | 51 | 43.1 | 40.9 | +2.2 | 34.2 |
| Mid-range left | 1 | 2 | 50.0 | 32.4 | +17.6 | 1.3 |
| Mid-range center | 2 | 4 | 50.0 | 35.8 | +14.2 | 2.7 |
| Mid-range right | 3 | 8 | 37.5 | 31.8 | +5.7 | 5.4 |
| Left corner 3 | 5 | 7 | 71.4 | 33.0 | +38.4 | 4.7 |
| Right corner 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 32.6 | -32.6 | 2.0 |
| Above-break 3 left | 4 | 24 | 16.7 | 30.7 | -14.0 | 16.1 |
| Above-break 3 center | 1 | 4 | 25.0 | 30.4 | -5.4 | 2.7 |
| Above-break 3 right | 3 | 16 | 18.8 | 30.9 | -12.1 | 10.7 |
Career Stats
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 117 regular season. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Nums/G | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAW | Akron | 28 | 16.4 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 36.9% | 24.1% | 58.1% | 43.3 | 41.3 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAW | Saint Francis Red Flash | 29 | 20.6 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 47.3% | 42.9% | 62.9% | 53.0 | 51.9 |
| 2023-2024 | NCAAW | Robert Morris Colonials | 30 | 14.8 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 36.4% | 26.7% | 63.3% | 42.4 | 40.0 |
| 2022-2023 | NCAAW | Robert Morris Colonials | 30 | 10.0 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 38.8% | 31.0% | 77.3% | 49.1 | 44.4 |
Advanced: Nums/G = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA per game, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Game Log — 2025-2026
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 117 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.
The latest season's 28 of 117 career games; each season's games are under its link above.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | vs | Eastern Michigan Eagles | L | 62-77 | 29 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11.0 | +13.4 |
| 2026-03-04 | vs | Massachusetts Minutewomen | L | 64-74 | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3.0 | +7.1 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Miami (OH) RedHawks | L | 56-74 | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.0 | +1.0 |
| 2026-02-25 | @ | Ball State Cardinals | L | 55-88 | 26 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -3.0 | -13.7 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Kent State Golden Flashes | L | 61-80 | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7.0 | -0.8 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Ohio Bobcats | W | 108-105 | 29 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7.0 | -4.3 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Northern Illinois Huskies | W | 75-68 | 26 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13.0 | +7.6 |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | Central Michigan Chippewas | L | 79-86 | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.0 | +1.2 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | L | 71-82 | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5.0 | -10.6 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Toledo Rockets | W | 77-74 | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.0 | +5.3 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Buffalo Bulls | W | 76-72 | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.4 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Kent State Golden Flashes | L | 79-91 | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | -7.4 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Massachusetts Minutewomen | L | 68-82 | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | +0.2 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Miami (OH) RedHawks | L | 56-79 | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5.0 | -2.3 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Western Michigan Broncos | L | 48-55 | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | +4.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Ohio Bobcats | L | 56-73 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | +0.8 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Ball State Cardinals | L | 73-102 | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5.0 | -1.1 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Le Moyne Dolphins | W | 94-68 | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.0 | -4.3 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Delaware Blue Hens | L | 56-75 | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | +2.1 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Geneva Golden Tornadoes | W | 100-65 | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | +4.5 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Michigan Wolverines | L | 59-85 | 17 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1.0 | +11.3 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Heidelberg Student Princes | W | 117-34 | 20 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12.0 | - |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Youngstown State Penguins | L | 63-90 | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1.0 | -4.9 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Xavier Musketeers | L | 57-64 | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6.0 | -7.4 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Binghamton Bearcats | L | 94-95 | 21 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7.0 | - |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Cleveland State Vikings | L | 55-76 | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | -0.8 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Robert Morris Colonials | L | 61-70 | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.0 | -0.9 |
| 2025-11-03 | @ | South Alabama Jaguars | L | 63-87 | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.0 | - |