Jaelen Nelson
Team: Edward Waters
Career Averages
NCAA · NCAAMD2 · recorded game logs across selected-source seasons. Coverage reflects stored games; missing source statistics remain unknown.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 22.8 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 39.5% | 35.4% | 73.8% |
Plus/minus sample — 2025-2026: 25 games, 697.8 minutes, 2296.9 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Stored model artifacts; separate scope, not verified by the counting calculation.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.24 | 1599 | 694 | 2244 | +17 | +0.7 | +1.0 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus. Current fits use points per 40 minutes above average; historical artifact units are unverified.
Model Outputs — 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More → | -0.24 (#1599) | SE 2.58 | Poss 2244 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More → | -0.24 (#1599) | Off -0.75 | Def +0.51 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More → | +0.74 (#1507) | PM/G +0.7 | PM/40 +1.0 |
| Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. More → | 9.122 (#53) | Vec (-4.05, +4.52) | Norm 6.07 |
Career Stats
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAMD2 | Edward Waters | 29 | 29.8 | 11.1 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 9.7 | 6.1 | 40.4% | 34.8% | 75.4% | 52.2 | 48.8 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAMD2 | Edward Waters | 24 | 14.3 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 37.1% | 36.7% | 68.4% | 49.8 | 47.6 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log — 2025-2026
The latest season's 29 of 53 career games; each season's games are under its link above.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 61-75 | 34 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | -17.1 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Tuskegee | L | 55-75 | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -5.5 |
| 2026-02-19 | @ | Miles | L | 73-83 | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -1.6 |
| 2026-02-16 | @ | Benedict | W | 60-55 | 33 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | +1.7 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Savannah St. | W | 59-55 | 34 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -1.7 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | L | 66-67 | 39 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | -4.5 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Spring Hill | W | 78-62 | 30 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | +12.5 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 68-49 | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | +14.7 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Central St. (OH) | L | 86-93 | 38 | 9-22 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | -3.8 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Kentucky St. | W | 99-71 | 30 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +14.1 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Lane | W | 76-70 | 35 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | +14.4 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Benedict | L | 61-63 | 40 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 4-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +5.4 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Savannah St. | L | 63-69 | 36 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Allen | W | 82-62 | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -0.1 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Fort Valley St. | W | 83-82 | 25 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -1 | -1.6 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Clark Atlanta | L | 70-82 | 33 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | -7.4 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Morehouse | L | 53-58 | 33 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +12.0 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Tuskegee | L | 54-71 | 33 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -2 | -16.3 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Miles | L | 66-70 | 33 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | L | 66-69 | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -12.8 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Spring Hill | L | 71-75 | 29 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Central St. (OH) | W | 65-63 | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 5 | -0.6 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Kentucky St. | W | 68-63 | 31 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | North Georgia | L | 60-65 | 27 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | +3.9 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Flagler | W | 62-59 | 24 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +9.8 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 76-65 | 24 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | +11.2 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Lane | W | 91-88 | 18 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | +5.2 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Florida Tech | W | 78-58 | 34 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Valdosta St. | L | 70-85 | 20 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | -5.8 |