Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 32 | 9-24 | 0-3 | 6-10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 9 | +9.4 |
| C. Harris | 31 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| D. Richmond | 29 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +2.2 |
| K. Alexander | 27 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -0.3 |
| C. Allen | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +6.9 |
| J. Hunter | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +6.9 |
| B. Alexander | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +0.2 |
| P. Gaines | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +7.2 |
| B. Gilmore | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -0.3 |
| J. Spiers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| B. Charlo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| A. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -0.0 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Marc | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 6 | -6.6 |
| C. Harris | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| T. Ortiz | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | -0.1 |
| D. Gonzalez | 26 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | -6.6 |
| A. Sutton | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -7.4 |
| D. Carter-Hartley | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1.6 |
| C. Narcisse | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -2 | -7.1 |
| A. Spann | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +0.0 |
| J. Baines | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | -0.3 |
| P. Okafor Nweze | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.6 |
| M. Holmes | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter