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2026-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 56.5% 43.5% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% - βœ—
Margin 67.1% 32.9% -3.9 βœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% - βœ—
Efficiency 79.2% 20.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 57.5% 42.5% - βœ“

Actual: Missouri Tigers -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Oweh 35 9-18 2-6 1-2 3 2 2 0 2 21 8 -
D. Aberdeen 34 4-12 1-4 7-8 1 7 2 0 1 16 13 -
C. Chandler 33 5-6 2-3 3-3 2 2 3 0 2 15 14 -
M. Moreno 32 2-4 0-1 3-4 4 3 0 3 1 7 12 -
M. Dioubate 20 3-5 0-0 3-4 7 2 0 2 2 9 13 -
A. Jelavić 18 3-6 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
K. Williams 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
B. Garrison 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 4 0 0 5 -
J. Johnson 6 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mitchell 39 13-21 2-2 4-7 7 1 0 0 4 32 15 -
T.O. Barrett 33 4-11 0-1 5-7 7 7 3 0 3 13 16 -
T. Pierce 32 2-5 1-4 2-3 2 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
A. Robinson II 29 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 3 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Stone 20 2-5 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 5 6 -
S. Phillips 19 3-3 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 1 2 8 10 -
T. Burns 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Crews 8 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
N. Randall 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

* = starter