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2026-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors UC Irvine Anteaters Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% -
Log Adjusted 21.8% 78.2% -
Points Off/Def 31.6% 68.4% -

Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +15 (93-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hughes Jr. 39 0-3 0-1 2-3 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Davis 38 13-26 0-3 0-0 5 8 1 0 2 26 12 -
J. O'Garro 36 9-14 4-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 22 11 -
M. Fofana 31 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 6 6 -
J. Evans Jr. 27 5-14 5-12 2-2 0 2 3 1 0 17 9 -
G. Lewis 14 2-4 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
J. Brinson 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Chisolm 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Loury 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Evans 32 5-6 0-0 5-5 8 0 0 1 0 15 18 -
D. Saran 32 9-18 3-7 2-2 9 5 4 0 4 23 19 -
J. Dixon 30 7-14 3-7 1-2 5 7 0 0 1 18 15 -
T. Isaac 26 2-6 1-4 4-4 1 3 0 1 2 9 6 -
A. Henry 24 3-8 2-5 4-4 1 2 0 0 2 12 5 -
E. Chol 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
A. McBirney-Griffin 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Jester Jr. 12 4-8 1-2 0-3 0 3 2 0 1 9 5 -
H. Carrington 8 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
N. Emeneke 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 0 7 -
T. Ahir 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Egbo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter