Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | +9.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals +23 (68-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Madi | 36 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| P. Johnson | 34 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Summers | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Teat | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Robinson | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. O'Neal | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Lavrenov | 19 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Glover | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Johnson | 34 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Rasmussen | 32 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 4 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 29 | 6-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| B. Rowbury | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| I. Brickner | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Payne | 19 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Joba | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Blassingame | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Klapper | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| A. Sevilla | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Steele | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter