Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Whitlock * | 38 | 11-19 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 13 | +6.0 |
| J. Ingram * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +6.5 |
| C. Thomas * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | -2.5 |
| H. Alvey * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +7.9 |
| P. Kramer * | 25 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +9.0 |
| J. Pike | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +0.9 |
| J. Vazquez | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.9 |
| A. Urosevic | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -3.3 |
| A. Addesa | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.1 |
| H. Adiassa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hall * | 41 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 28 | -5.7 |
| M. Drone * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +1.8 |
| K. Gumbs * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -5.4 |
| F. Emmou * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +4.7 |
| M. Willis * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1.7 |
| D. Pernell | 21 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -11.1 |
| R. Fields | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.1 |
| T. Sant | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Pernell | 11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -2.8 |
| K. Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| J. Bolden | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
* = starter