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2025-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Log Adjusted 48.7% 51.3% -
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -10 (81-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Agbim * 37 5-10 4-8 4-5 2 4 2 0 0 18 16 -0.0
C. Carr * 35 5-11 2-4 5-6 6 3 1 1 1 17 16 +2.4
D. Skillings Jr. * 34 4-6 1-3 2-4 8 5 0 0 4 11 14 +18.7
T. Yessoufou * 31 7-14 1-5 3-5 7 2 1 0 0 18 14 +22.1
M. Rataj * 27 4-6 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 0 3 9 8 -15.3
I. Williams IV 19 4-8 1-2 4-4 1 2 1 0 1 13 8 +2.2
C. Powell 17 1-2 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 5 7 +13.3

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Byrd * 27 5-12 2-8 1-1 4 2 0 0 3 13 4 -7.6
R. Dixon-Waters * 23 4-12 3-9 1-1 0 4 2 0 1 12 5 +1.5
M. Heide * 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 0 6 -2.2
E. Harrington * 20 4-9 3-3 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 12 7 -7.1
M. Gwath * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -4.6
BJ Davis 21 4-7 0-2 3-3 2 1 1 0 0 11 8 -11.4
J. Oden 17 2-3 2-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 10 -5.8
S. Newman Jr. 17 2-6 0-1 6-6 3 6 0 0 3 10 10 +7.8
P. Compton 16 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 1 4 3 -9.8
T. DeGourville 15 2-3 1-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 7 8 -2.8
T. Simmons 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 +4.7

* = starter