Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Johnston * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -1.0 |
| A. Wilkins * | 30 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | +4.8 |
| C. Bowser * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -15.8 |
| A. Thomas * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -23.1 |
| B. VanderWal * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. House | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +12.8 |
| E. Bronson | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -5.2 |
| C. O'Neal | 16 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +11.3 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | +8.0 |
| Ty Pence * | 31 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 21 | +17.3 |
| T. Coleman * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +17.4 |
| B. Skunberg * | 31 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +2.0 |
| C. Walker * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | +10.3 |
| B. Lieb | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9.3 |
| C. Barnes | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -1.3 |
| L. Wolf | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| M. Klabo | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -8.1 |
| J. Daugherty | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.1 |
| L. Moore | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
* = starter